TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12480092
Played Aug 23Finished
Martin Sopko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111197111210211
Jiri Louda
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Louda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sopko above · Jiri Louda below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 2-11
Point 93 set 5, 2-11 — our read held Jiri Louda at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sopko 5–7 Jiri Louda Martin Sopko has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:44What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Louda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Louda
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sopko 1676 vs Louda 1705
Louda
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sopko 60% vs Louda 80%
Louda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sopko 70% vs Louda 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sopko -1 · Louda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Louda) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Louda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSopko 2.20 / Louda 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Louda)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12480092
Sopko2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 35 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back36% 16 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Louda1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 196 of 344
Up 2–0, closes it87% 90 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it72% 137 of 191
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSopko5wins
AwayLouda5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSopko50%2 of 4
AwayLouda50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sopko4Louda6n = 10Louda took 6 of 10
S2Sopko5Louda5n = 10split evenly
S3Sopko6Louda4n = 10Sopko took 6 of 10
S4Sopko5Louda5n = 10split evenly
S5Sopko3Louda3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSopkoLoudaS − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.244.1−0.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSopkoLoudaBasisWin rate · lifetime160 / 346 vs 618 / 121146.2%51%160 / 346 vs 618 / 1211Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LoudaSopko 2.20/Louda 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Louda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Louda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 16 · 22:00M. Sopko—127881J. Louda—101111113
LDec 7 · 19:30M. Sopko—111118102J. Louda—113811123
WAug 31 · 17:00M. Sopko—7111112113J. Louda—11681482
WAug 31 · 15:30M. Sopko—41111113J. Louda—114871
WAug 30 · 03:00M. Sopko—119511113J. Louda—81111772
LAug 30 · 24:00M. Sopko—11311492J. Louda—911611113
LJul 1 · 19:30M. Sopko—811891J. Louda—11911113
LJun 27 · 23:00M. Sopko—591112102J. Louda—1111910123
WJun 26 · 21:00M. Sopko—8111411113J. Louda—111312982
WJun 26 · 18:00M. Sopko—111111113J. Louda—951391
M. Sopko10
WAug 27 · 03:00V. Cermak1.5246120M. Sopko2.351111143LAug 27 · 02:30J. Hradecky2.50111159113M. Sopko1.5085111162LAug 27 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.67911911113M. Sopko2.1011811692LAug 26 · 23:30M. Sopko2.108360V. Cermak1.671111113WAug 26 · 22:00M. Sopko2.63541111113M. Regner1.4411115732LAug 23 · 20:58M. Sopko2.0011139792R. Pacha1.735111111113LAug 23 · 20:30M. Wagner1.501111173M. Sopko2.5096150LAug 23 · 19:30M. Sopko1.8395110M. Skakal1.831111133WAug 23 · 18:30R. Pacha1.449940M. Sopko2.631111113WAug 23 · 17:01M. Sopko1.8011711113M. Klement1.91811661
J. Louda10
WSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080LSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:00J. Louda1.831111113K. Schopf1.838660WSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113WSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040WSep 6 · 12:30J. Louda1.831312113P. Saleny1.83111070LSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113LSep 6 · 10:00A. Brazda2.6391111143J. Louda1.441198121LSep 4 · 09:30P. Saleny1.83111011113J. Louda1.83712481
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