TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12480262
Played Aug 23Finished
Robin Pacha
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911411––––
Martin Sopko
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRobin Pacha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRobin Pacha above · Martin Sopko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 55 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Robin Pacha at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Robin Pacha 1–3 Martin Sopko Robin Pacha has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:40What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Pacha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Sopko
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pacha 1607 vs Sopko 1688
Sopko
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pacha 0% vs Sopko 40%
Sopko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pacha 20% vs Sopko 70%
Sopko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pacha -5 · Sopko +1
Pacha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Pacha) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pacha form (0%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPacha 1.44 / Sopko 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Pacha)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12480262
Pacha1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As favourite70% won 49 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Sopko2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 35 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back36% 16 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomePacha1wins
AwaySopko3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderSopko leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePachan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySopko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pacha1Sopko3n = 4Sopko took 3 of 4
S2Pacha2Sopko2n = 4split evenly
S3Pacha2Sopko2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricPachaSopkoP − SBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match31.534.0−2.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPachaSopkoBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 334 vs 161 / 34755.1%46.4%184 / 334 vs 161 / 347Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PachaPacha 1.44/Sopko 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Pacha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sopko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 23 · 18:30R. Pacha—9940M. Sopko—1111113
WAug 3 · 20:00R. Pacha—1211113M. Sopko—10640
LJan 9 · 22:00R. Pacha—81211682M. Sopko—1110611113
LJan 9 · 21:30R. Pacha—61090M. Sopko—1112113
R. Pacha10
LSep 5 · 21:28R. Wagner1.611111113R. Pacha2.206780WSep 5 · 20:30R. Pacha1.6711118113D. Hofman2.10551161WSep 5 · 19:00R. Pacha1.671111113K. Schopf2.107580LSep 5 · 18:00R. Wagner1.61111111113R. Pacha2.20613691WAug 29 · 20:59R. Pacha1.5311119113M. Sobisek2.38761191LAug 29 · 20:00R. Pacha1.6711116882M. Sychra2.10761111113WAug 29 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.75155981R. Pacha1.40131111113LAug 29 · 18:00R. Pacha1.67149591V. Vejvoda2.10121111113WAug 23 · 20:58M. Sopko2.0011139792R. Pacha1.735111111113LAug 23 · 20:00M. Skakal2.251111113R. Pacha1.574950
M. Sopko10
WAug 27 · 03:00V. Cermak1.5246120M. Sopko2.351111143LAug 27 · 02:30J. Hradecky2.50111159113M. Sopko1.5085111162LAug 27 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.67911911113M. Sopko2.1011811692LAug 26 · 23:30M. Sopko2.108360V. Cermak1.671111113WAug 26 · 22:00M. Sopko2.63541111113M. Regner1.4411115732LAug 23 · 20:58M. Sopko2.0011139792R. Pacha1.735111111113LAug 23 · 20:30M. Wagner1.501111173M. Sopko2.5096150LAug 23 · 19:30M. Sopko1.8395110M. Skakal1.831111133WAug 23 · 17:01M. Sopko1.8011711113M. Klement1.91811661LAug 23 · 16:30M. Sopko2.2091171222J. Louda1.611191110113
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