TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13013886
Played Aug 27Finished
Martin Sobisek
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911118911116119
Martin Sopko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:36 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeMartin Sobisek to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sobisek above · Martin Sopko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 96 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Martin Sobisek at 60.1%
96 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sobisek 21–12 Martin Sopko Martin Sopko has won 12 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:36What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sobisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-12 in 33
Sobisek
Correct
gap of 9 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobisek 1734 vs Sopko 1624
Sobisek
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobisek 80% vs Sopko 20%
Sobisek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobisek 70% vs Sopko 40%
Sobisek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobisek -1 · Sopko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sobisek) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sopko form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobisek 1.67 / Sopko 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Sobisek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13013886
Sobisek1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 106 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it98% 59 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it76% 76 of 100
Sopko2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 36 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back33% 15 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobisek7wins
AwaySopko3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSobisek leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobisek80%4 of 5
AwaySopko40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobisek5Sopko5n = 10split evenly
S2Sobisek7Sopko3n = 10Sobisek took 7 of 10
S3Sobisek5Sopko5n = 10split evenly
S4Sobisek5Sopko1n = 6Sobisek took 5 of 6
S5Sobisek3Sopko2n = 5Sobisek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobisekSopkoSobisek − SopkoBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.936.0+4.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobisekSopkoBasisWin rate · lifetime564 / 1180 vs 162 / 35347.8%45.9%564 / 1180 vs 162 / 353Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobisekSobisek 1.67/Sopko 2.10
Hit
What we said
57%
Sobisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sobisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 01:00M. Sobisek—911911113M. Sopko—11811692
WJun 7 · 19:30M. Sobisek—911611113M. Sopko—11211662
WJun 6 · 02:00M. Sobisek—1111113M. Sopko—9550
LJun 5 · 20:30M. Sobisek—91111992M. Sopko—116311113
WMay 28 · 23:30M. Sobisek—13611113M. Sopko—1111481
WMay 21 · 03:30M. Sobisek—1116113M. Sopko—61480
LMay 20 · 22:30M. Sobisek—7960M. Sopko—1111113
LApr 26 · 14:30M. Sobisek—11661192M. Sopko—711119113
WApr 26 · 10:30M. Sobisek—1111113M. Sopko—7940
WApr 4 · 21:00M. Sobisek—716611113M. Sopko—111411992
M. Sobisek10
LSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480WSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890WSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113WSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123WSep 6 · 18:30V. Cermak2.005450M. Sobisek1.731111113LSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271
M. Sopko10
WAug 27 · 03:00V. Cermak1.5246120M. Sopko2.351111143LAug 27 · 02:30J. Hradecky2.50111159113M. Sopko1.5085111162LAug 26 · 23:30M. Sopko2.108360V. Cermak1.671111113WAug 26 · 22:00M. Sopko2.63541111113M. Regner1.4411115732LAug 23 · 20:58M. Sopko2.0011139792R. Pacha1.735111111113LAug 23 · 20:30M. Wagner1.501111173M. Sopko2.5096150LAug 23 · 19:30M. Sopko1.8395110M. Skakal1.831111133WAug 23 · 18:30R. Pacha1.449940M. Sopko2.631111113WAug 23 · 17:01M. Sopko1.8011711113M. Klement1.91811661LAug 23 · 16:30M. Sopko2.2091171222J. Louda1.611191110113
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