TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12480261
Played Aug 23Finished
Martin Sopko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9115111113––––
Martin Skakal
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Sopko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Sopko above · Martin Skakal below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 60 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Martin Sopko at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sopko 0–1 Martin Skakal Martin Sopko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:32What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Skakal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sopko 1658 vs Skakal 1659
Skakal
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sopko 60% vs Skakal 20%
Sopko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sopko 70% vs Skakal 30%
Sopko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sopko +2 · Skakal -3
Skakal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sopko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skakal form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSopko 1.83 / Skakal 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sopko)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12480261
Sopko1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Skakal1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSopko0wins
AwaySkakal1wins
Skakal leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricSopkoSkakalSopko − SkakalBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match25.035.0−10.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSopkoSkakalBasisWin rate · lifetime161 / 348 vs 60 / 12046.3%50%161 / 348 vs 60 / 120Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SopkoSopko 1.83/Skakal 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sopko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skakal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 23 · 19:30M. Sopko—95110M. Skakal—1111133
M. Sopko10
WAug 27 · 03:00V. Cermak1.5246120M. Sopko2.351111143LAug 27 · 02:30J. Hradecky2.50111159113M. Sopko1.5085111162LAug 27 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.67911911113M. Sopko2.1011811692LAug 26 · 23:30M. Sopko2.108360V. Cermak1.671111113WAug 26 · 22:00M. Sopko2.63541111113M. Regner1.4411115732LAug 23 · 20:58M. Sopko2.0011139792R. Pacha1.735111111113LAug 23 · 20:30M. Wagner1.501111173M. Sopko2.5096150WAug 23 · 18:30R. Pacha1.449940M. Sopko2.631111113WAug 23 · 17:01M. Sopko1.8011711113M. Klement1.91811661LAug 23 · 16:30M. Sopko2.2091171222J. Louda1.611191110113
M. Skakal10
LAug 31 · 03:30V. Vejvoda1.6511116113M. Skakal2.10691161LAug 31 · 02:30M. Skakal2.1071260V. Vejvoda1.671114113WAug 31 · 01:30M. Sobisek2.1011881182M. Skakal1.67811117113WAug 31 · 24:00M. Skakal1.731111113M. Chlebecek2.007450WAug 30 · 23:00M. Klement1.57111161082M. Skakal2.25581112113LAug 28 · 03:02M. Skakal1.73119811102R. Wagner2.00511114123LAug 28 · 02:00M. Skakal2.2051160J. Louda1.611113113LAug 28 · 01:00M. Skakal2.1011117832S. Kasnik1.67731111113WAug 28 · 24:00R. Wagner1.6791511832M. Skakal2.101113711113WAug 27 · 22:30D. Hofman1.8035100M. Skakal1.911111123
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