TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13014770
Played Aug 27Finished
Jakub Hradecky
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118115511911116
Martin Sopko
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:13 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeMartin Sopko to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Hradecky above · Martin Sopko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 88 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Martin Sopko at 66.5%
88 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Hradecky 1–9 Martin Sopko Jakub Hradecky has won 1 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:13What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Sopko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-9 in 10
Sopko
Wrong
gap of 8 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hradecky 1636 vs Sopko 1616
Hradecky
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hradecky 40% vs Sopko 20%
Hradecky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hradecky 30% vs Sopko 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hradecky +2 · Sopko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Sopko) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sopko form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHradecky 2.50 / Sopko 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Sopko)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13014770
Hradecky2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 23 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Sopko1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 41 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it100% 19 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it87% 27 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHradecky1wins
AwaySopko9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSopko leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHradecky33.3%1 of 3
AwaySopko100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hradecky3Sopko7n = 10Sopko took 7 of 10
S2Hradecky4Sopko6n = 10Sopko took 6 of 10
S3Hradecky3Sopko7n = 10Sopko took 7 of 10
S4Hradecky3Sopko3n = 6split evenly
S5Hradecky0Sopko4n = 4Sopko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHradeckySopkoH − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.239.9−5.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHradeckySopkoBasisWin rate · lifetime248 / 474 vs 162 / 35352.3%45.9%248 / 474 vs 162 / 353Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SopkoHradecky 2.50/Sopko 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.1%
Sopko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hradecky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 01:00J. Hradecky—5880M. Sopko—1111113
LJul 23 · 24:30J. Hradecky—8880M. Sopko—1111113
LApr 15 · 02:30J. Hradecky—81161192M. Sopko—117119113
LDec 15 · 23:30J. Hradecky—751351M. Sopko—111111113
LDec 15 · 19:30J. Hradecky—111081182M. Sopko—912116113
LNov 18 · 04:00J. Hradecky—111151182M. Sopko—791113113
LNov 18 · 02:30J. Hradecky—85111172M. Sopko—111179113
LJul 17 · 19:00J. Hradecky—811561M. Sopko—11711113
LMay 12 · 20:00J. Hradecky—6890M. Sopko—1111113
WJan 9 · 20:30J. Hradecky—1111113M. Sopko—5670
J. Hradecky10
WSep 3 · 17:00J. Stolfa1.733760J. Hradecky2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153LSep 3 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.918141281J. Stolfa1.80111214113LSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 2 · 02:00M. Chlebecek1.838680J. Hradecky1.831111113LSep 2 · 24:30J. Hradecky1.67114961M. Sobisek2.1051111113LSep 1 · 23:00J. Hradecky2.75119671J. Tazler1.4071111113LSep 1 · 22:00M. Regner1.441311163J. Hradecky2.63118140LAug 31 · 20:59S. Kadavy1.6161111113J. Hradecky2.20119981LAug 31 · 20:00J. Hradecky2.101011118112S. Kadavy1.67122811133
M. Sopko10
WAug 27 · 03:00V. Cermak1.5246120M. Sopko2.351111143LAug 27 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.67911911113M. Sopko2.1011811692LAug 26 · 23:30M. Sopko2.108360V. Cermak1.671111113WAug 26 · 22:00M. Sopko2.63541111113M. Regner1.4411115732LAug 23 · 20:58M. Sopko2.0011139792R. Pacha1.735111111113LAug 23 · 20:30M. Wagner1.501111173M. Sopko2.5096150LAug 23 · 19:30M. Sopko1.8395110M. Skakal1.831111133WAug 23 · 18:30R. Pacha1.449940M. Sopko2.631111113WAug 23 · 17:01M. Sopko1.8011711113M. Klement1.91811661LAug 23 · 16:30M. Sopko2.2091171222J. Louda1.611191110113
Upcoming Matches
J. Hradecky
M. Sopko
Nothing scheduled
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