TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092914
Played Sep 9Finished
Ales Hlawatschke
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9115111171513511
Daniel Tuma
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:41 and never touched — 54.8% is still 54.8%
Graded at full timeAles Hlawatschke to win
54.8%
54.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAles Hlawatschke above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 15-13
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 98 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Ales Hlawatschke at 54.8%
98 points played in total.
H2H Ales Hlawatschke 13–7 Daniel Tuma Daniel Tuma has won 7 of their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:41What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hlawatschke
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-7 in 20
Hlawatschke
Wrong
gap of 6 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hlawatschke 1592 vs Tuma 1681
Tuma
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hlawatschke 80% vs Tuma 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hlawatschke 80% vs Tuma 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hlawatschke -1 · Tuma +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hlawatschke) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHlawatschke 1.67 / Tuma 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Hlawatschke)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092914
Hlawatschke1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 12 of 22
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it46% 5 of 11
Tuma2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 171 of 370
Down 0–1, comes back28% 55 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back11% 11 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHlawatschke5wins
AwayTuma5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHlawatschke80%4 of 5
AwayTuma80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hlawatschke5Tuma5n = 10split evenly
S2Hlawatschke8Tuma2n = 10Hlawatschke took 8 of 10
S3Hlawatschke6Tuma4n = 10Hlawatschke took 6 of 10
S4Hlawatschke3Tuma5n = 8Tuma took 5 of 8
S5Hlawatschke2Tuma4n = 6Tuma took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHlawatschkeTumaH − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.741.3+1.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHlawatschkeTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime109 / 214 vs 770 / 146650.9%52.5%109 / 214 vs 770 / 1466Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HlawatschkeHlawatschke 1.67/Tuma 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Hlawatschke · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke—11129113D. Tuma—9101141
LAug 11 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke—12711982D. Tuma—1011511113
LJan 29 · 24:00A. Hlawatschke—911131082D. Tuma—1171112113
LJan 23 · 24:00A. Hlawatschke—711931D. Tuma—11411113
LDec 16 · 03:30A. Hlawatschke—611911122D. Tuma—119118143
WNov 19 · 09:00A. Hlawatschke—1112113D. Tuma—81030
LNov 7 · 07:30A. Hlawatschke—97111262D. Tuma—1111710113
WNov 6 · 07:00A. Hlawatschke—911114113D. Tuma—11651192
WNov 5 · 04:30A. Hlawatschke—121255113D. Tuma—1010111162
WNov 5 · 24:30A. Hlawatschke—1511113D. Tuma—13690
A. Hlawatschke10
LSep 9 · 24:00M. Sopko1.331111113A. Hlawatschke3.256760WSep 8 · 22:30V. Cermak2.631011111262A. Hlawatschke1.441213810113WAug 25 · 03:28A. Hlawatschke1.3671111113R. Krejci3.00118981WAug 25 · 02:00R. Krejci3.25139111332A. Hlawatschke1.331111915113WAug 25 · 24:30A. Hlawatschke1.91131110113M. Vesely1.801181281WAug 24 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke2.3871111113F. Just1.53115791WAug 24 · 22:00D. Tuma2.001341061A. Hlawatschke1.73111112113WAug 18 · 03:28T. Janata1.539711111A. Hlawatschke2.3811117133WAug 18 · 02:30A. Hlawatschke1.501111133M. Nohejl2.5096110LAug 18 · 01:30M. Vesely1.91913148113A. Hlawatschke1.801111121192
D. Tuma10
WSep 8 · 23:30D. Tuma2.10115911113V. Cermak1.6781111952LSep 8 · 22:00D. Tuma1.80631581M. Sobisek1.91111113113WSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133WSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113WSep 3 · 18:30D. Tuma1.40111212113V. Postelt2.757101481WSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271WSep 3 · 16:00D. Tuma1.911111113J. Stolfa1.809770LSep 3 · 15:30M. Sobisek2.00118119133D. Tuma1.73411711112LAug 24 · 22:00D. Tuma2.001341061A. Hlawatschke1.73111112113
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