TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092985
Played Sep 9Finished
Martin Sopko
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119116––––
Daniel Tuma
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:47 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeMartin Sopko to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sopko above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 54 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Martin Sopko at 63.3%
54 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sopko 14–7 Daniel Tuma Daniel Tuma has won 7 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:47What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Sopko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-7 in 21
Sopko
Correct
gap of 7 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sopko 1617 vs Tuma 1689
Tuma
Wrong
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sopko 60% vs Tuma 80%
Tuma
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sopko 40% vs Tuma 80%
Tuma
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sopko +2 · Tuma +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Sopko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSopko 1.44 / Tuma 2.63
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Sopko)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13092985
Sopko1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 38 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it86% 25 of 29
Tuma2.63
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog46% won 171 of 370
Down 0–1, comes back28% 55 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back11% 11 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSopko8wins
AwayTuma2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSopko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSopko85.7%6 of 7
AwayTuma33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sopko7Tuma3n = 10Sopko took 7 of 10
S2Sopko9Tuma1n = 10Sopko took 9 of 10
S3Sopko7Tuma3n = 10Sopko took 7 of 10
S4Sopko3Tuma3n = 6split evenly
S5Sopko2Tuma2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSopkoTumaS − TBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.031.4+9.6per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSopkoTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 354 vs 771 / 146746.6%52.6%165 / 354 vs 771 / 1467Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SopkoSopko 1.44/Tuma 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Sopko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sopko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 5 · 19:00M. Sopko—1111113D. Tuma—6980
WMay 28 · 22:00M. Sopko—911411133D. Tuma—114118112
WMay 21 · 01:30M. Sopko—1111113D. Tuma—5640
WApr 15 · 03:30M. Sopko—1111113D. Tuma—3470
LApr 15 · 01:30M. Sopko—119121172D. Tuma—5111013113
WMar 17 · 21:58M. Sopko—1111113D. Tuma—7660
LMar 17 · 21:30M. Sopko—6111111122D. Tuma—116513143
WMar 11 · 04:30M. Sopko—111174113D. Tuma—46111132
WMar 11 · 24:30M. Sopko—12119113D. Tuma—1081131
WMar 4 · 03:58M. Sopko—91111113D. Tuma—117951
M. Sopko10
WSep 9 · 01:30V. Cermak1.80611581M. Sopko1.9111511113WSep 9 · 24:00M. Sopko1.331111113A. Hlawatschke3.256760LSep 8 · 23:00M. Sobisek1.801111113M. Sopko1.918890WAug 27 · 03:00V. Cermak1.5246120M. Sopko2.351111143LAug 27 · 02:30J. Hradecky2.50111159113M. Sopko1.5085111162LAug 27 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.67911911113M. Sopko2.1011811692LAug 26 · 23:30M. Sopko2.108360V. Cermak1.671111113WAug 26 · 22:00M. Sopko2.63541111113M. Regner1.4411115732LAug 23 · 20:58M. Sopko2.0011139792R. Pacha1.735111111113LAug 23 · 20:30M. Wagner1.501111173M. Sopko2.5096150
D. Tuma10
LSep 9 · 03:00D. Tuma2.105960A. Hlawatschke1.671111113WSep 9 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.6795111552D. Tuma2.101111713113WSep 8 · 23:30D. Tuma2.10115911113V. Cermak1.6781111952LSep 8 · 22:00D. Tuma1.80631581M. Sobisek1.91111113113WSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133WSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113WSep 3 · 18:30D. Tuma1.40111212113V. Postelt2.757101481WSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271WSep 3 · 16:00D. Tuma1.911111113J. Stolfa1.809770
Upcoming Matches
M. Sopko
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D. Tuma
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