TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13101927
Played Sep 9Finished
Daniel Tuma
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911611––––
Ales Hlawatschke
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tuma to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Ales Hlawatschke below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 53 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tuma 8–14 Ales Hlawatschke Daniel Tuma has won 8 of their 22 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Tuma beat Hlawatschke 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:54What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hlawatschke
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-14 in 22
Hlawatschke
Correct
gap of 6 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1672 vs Hlawatschke 1575
Tuma
Wrong
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 60% vs Hlawatschke 40%
Tuma
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 80% vs Hlawatschke 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma -1 · Hlawatschke -3
Hlawatschke
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hlawatschke) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hlawatschke form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 2.10 / Hlawatschke 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Tuma)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13101927
Tuma2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog46% won 171 of 370
Down 0–1, comes back28% 55 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back11% 11 of 104
Hlawatschke1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 12 of 22
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it46% 5 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuma6wins
AwayHlawatschke4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderTuma leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma71.4%5 of 7
AwayHlawatschke66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma7Hlawatschke3n = 10Tuma took 7 of 10
S2Tuma3Hlawatschke7n = 10Hlawatschke took 7 of 10
S3Tuma3Hlawatschke7n = 10Hlawatschke took 7 of 10
S4Tuma4Hlawatschke5n = 9Hlawatschke took 5 of 9
S5Tuma5Hlawatschke1n = 6Tuma took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTumaHlawatschkeT − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.343.5−1.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaHlawatschkeBasisWin rate · lifetime771 / 1468 vs 109 / 21652.5%50.5%771 / 1468 vs 109 / 216Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HlawatschkeTuma 2.10/Hlawatschke 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hlawatschke · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hlawatschke won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 01:00D. Tuma—1111713113A. Hlawatschke—95111552
LAug 24 · 22:00D. Tuma—1341061A. Hlawatschke—111112113
LAug 13 · 23:00D. Tuma—9101141A. Hlawatschke—11129113
WAug 11 · 01:00D. Tuma—1011511113A. Hlawatschke—12711982
WJan 29 · 24:00D. Tuma—1171112113A. Hlawatschke—911131082
WJan 23 · 24:00D. Tuma—11411113A. Hlawatschke—711931
WDec 16 · 03:30D. Tuma—119118143A. Hlawatschke—611911122
LNov 19 · 09:00D. Tuma—81030A. Hlawatschke—1112113
WNov 7 · 07:30D. Tuma—1111710113A. Hlawatschke—97111262
LNov 6 · 07:00D. Tuma—11651192A. Hlawatschke—911114113
D. Tuma10
LSep 9 · 02:30M. Sopko1.441111113D. Tuma2.636960WSep 9 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.6795111552D. Tuma2.101111713113WSep 8 · 23:30D. Tuma2.10115911113V. Cermak1.6781111952LSep 8 · 22:00D. Tuma1.80631581M. Sobisek1.91111113113WSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133WSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113WSep 3 · 18:30D. Tuma1.40111212113V. Postelt2.757101481WSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271WSep 3 · 16:00D. Tuma1.911111113J. Stolfa1.809770
A. Hlawatschke10
LSep 9 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke2.38314951M. Sobisek1.53111211113LSep 9 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.6795111552D. Tuma2.101111713113LSep 9 · 24:00M. Sopko1.331111113A. Hlawatschke3.256760WSep 8 · 22:30V. Cermak2.631011111262A. Hlawatschke1.441213810113WAug 25 · 03:28A. Hlawatschke1.3671111113R. Krejci3.00118981WAug 25 · 02:00R. Krejci3.25139111332A. Hlawatschke1.331111915113WAug 25 · 24:30A. Hlawatschke1.91131110113M. Vesely1.801181281WAug 24 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke2.3871111113F. Just1.53115791WAug 24 · 22:00D. Tuma2.001341061A. Hlawatschke1.73111112113WAug 18 · 03:28T. Janata1.539711111A. Hlawatschke2.3811117133
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