TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092981
Played Sep 9Finished
Ales Hlawatschke
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
3111412911511––
Martin Sobisek
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:47 and never touched — 61.5% is still 61.5%
Graded at full timeMartin Sobisek to win
61.5%
61.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Hlawatschke above · Martin Sobisek below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 76 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Martin Sobisek at 61.5%
76 points played in total.
H2H Ales Hlawatschke 3–9 Martin Sobisek Ales Hlawatschke has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:47What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Sobisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-9 in 12
Sobisek
Correct
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hlawatschke 1584 vs Sobisek 1673
Sobisek
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hlawatschke 60% vs Sobisek 80%
Sobisek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hlawatschke 80% vs Sobisek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hlawatschke -2 · Sobisek +4
Sobisek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Sobisek) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobisek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHlawatschke 2.38 / Sobisek 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Sobisek)+1.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092981
Hlawatschke2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 13 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back29% 4 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Sobisek1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 107 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it98% 59 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it78% 78 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHlawatschke2wins
AwaySobisek8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSobisek leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHlawatschken = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySobisek75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hlawatschke2Sobisek8n = 10Sobisek took 8 of 10
S2Hlawatschke4Sobisek6n = 10Sobisek took 6 of 10
S3Hlawatschke3Sobisek7n = 10Sobisek took 7 of 10
S4Hlawatschke3Sobisek5n = 8Sobisek took 5 of 8
S5Hlawatschke2Sobisek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHlawatschkeSobisekH − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.543.7−7.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHlawatschkeSobisekBasisWin rate · lifetime109 / 215 vs 550 / 117450.7%46.9%109 / 215 vs 550 / 1174Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobisekHlawatschke 2.38/Sobisek 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Sobisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sobisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 10 · 22:30A. Hlawatschke—511591M. Sobisek—11911113
LMay 26 · 23:30A. Hlawatschke—111091192M. Sobisek—912119113
LFeb 25 · 07:30A. Hlawatschke—971471M. Sobisek—111112113
LFeb 24 · 24:30A. Hlawatschke—111111262M. Sobisek—913811113
WFeb 20 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke—1011911113M. Sobisek—12711892
LFeb 3 · 04:00A. Hlawatschke—6370M. Sobisek—1111113
LFeb 3 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke—7111171M. Sobisek—11127113
LJan 31 · 10:30A. Hlawatschke—33120M. Sobisek—1111143
WJan 31 · 08:00A. Hlawatschke—611911113M. Sobisek—11911872
LJan 30 · 01:30A. Hlawatschke—6111281M. Sobisek—11714113
A. Hlawatschke10
WSep 9 · 03:00D. Tuma2.105960A. Hlawatschke1.671111113LSep 9 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.6795111552D. Tuma2.101111713113LSep 9 · 24:00M. Sopko1.331111113A. Hlawatschke3.256760WSep 8 · 22:30V. Cermak2.631011111262A. Hlawatschke1.441213810113WAug 25 · 03:28A. Hlawatschke1.3671111113R. Krejci3.00118981WAug 25 · 02:00R. Krejci3.25139111332A. Hlawatschke1.331111915113WAug 25 · 24:30A. Hlawatschke1.91131110113M. Vesely1.801181281WAug 24 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke2.3871111113F. Just1.53115791WAug 24 · 22:00D. Tuma2.001341061A. Hlawatschke1.73111112113WAug 18 · 03:28T. Janata1.539711111A. Hlawatschke2.3811117133
M. Sobisek10
WSep 9 · 24:30M. Sobisek1.501111113V. Cermak2.507420WSep 8 · 23:00M. Sobisek1.801111113M. Sopko1.918890WSep 8 · 22:00D. Tuma1.80631581M. Sobisek1.91111113113WSep 8 · 17:29M. Sobisek1.501111113V. Cermak2.507650LSep 8 · 16:30J. Stolfa1.611114133M. Sobisek2.20812110WSep 8 · 15:30M. Sobisek1.611111123V. Cermak2.2075100WSep 8 · 14:30M. Vedmoch2.20912120M. Sobisek1.611114143LSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480WSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113
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