TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13106298
Played Sep 9Finished
Daniel Tuma
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111517311––––
Marcel Pikous
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Marcel Pikous below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 15-17
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 62 set 3, 3-11
62 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tuma 1–0 Marcel Pikous Marcel Pikous has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Tuma beat Pikous 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Pikous)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pikous form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 2.25 / Pikous 1.57
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Tuma)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13106298
Tuma2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 173 of 374
Down 0–1, comes back28% 55 of 198
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 106
Pikous1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite59% won 113 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it89% 54 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it76% 78 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeTuma1wins
AwayPikous0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderTuma leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricTumaPikousT − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.048.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaPikousBasisWin rate · lifetime770 / 1469 vs 364 / 69152.4%52.7%770 / 1469 vs 364 / 691Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PikousTuma 2.25/Pikous 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Pikous · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pikous won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 9 · 18:00D. Tuma—111155113M. Pikous—99111182
D. Tuma10
LSep 9 · 20:30D. Tuma1.83118581J. Stolfa1.8391111113LSep 9 · 19:00D. Tuma2.3897111182M. Bittner1.53111169113WSep 9 · 18:00M. Pikous1.3699111182D. Tuma3.00111155113LSep 9 · 03:00D. Tuma2.105960A. Hlawatschke1.671111113LSep 9 · 02:30M. Sopko1.441111113D. Tuma2.636960WSep 9 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.6795111552D. Tuma2.101111713113WSep 8 · 23:30D. Tuma2.10115911113V. Cermak1.6781111952LSep 8 · 22:00D. Tuma1.80631581M. Sobisek1.91111113113WSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133
M. Pikous10
LSep 9 · 20:00M. Pikous2.008111191M. Bittner1.7311913113LSep 9 · 19:30J. Stolfa3.0011512113M. Pikous1.367111071LSep 9 · 18:00M. Pikous1.3699111182D. Tuma3.00111155113LSep 6 · 17:29R. Rose1.73111194113M. Pikous2.0049111152WSep 6 · 16:30J. Tazler2.25149511122M. Pikous1.571211119143WSep 6 · 15:30M. Pikous2.10111011113R. Rose1.67812841LSep 6 · 14:30K. Schopf2.101111113M. Pikous1.677890LSep 6 · 02:59M. Pikous1.738860M. Regner2.001111113LSep 6 · 02:00J. Tazler2.759111011143M. Pikous1.40118129122LSep 6 · 24:30M. Pikous1.6163141162K. Schopf2.201111129113
Upcoming Matches
D. Tuma
Nothing scheduled
M. Pikous
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