TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098988
Played Sep 9Finished
Daniel Tuma
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119811511811––
Jakub Stolfa
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tuma to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Jakub Stolfa below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tuma 14–18 Jakub Stolfa Daniel Tuma has won 14 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:54What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Stolfa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-18 in 32
Stolfa
Correct
gap of 4 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1649 vs Stolfa 1579
Tuma
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 40% vs Stolfa 80%
Stolfa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 60% vs Stolfa 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma -1 · Stolfa +4
Stolfa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stolfa) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stolfa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 1.83 / Stolfa 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stolfa)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098988
Tuma1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Stolfa1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuma8wins
AwayStolfa2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTuma leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma100%7 of 7
AwayStolfa66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma7Stolfa3n = 10Tuma took 7 of 10
S2Tuma8Stolfa2n = 10Tuma took 8 of 10
S3Tuma6Stolfa4n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S4Tuma1Stolfa5n = 6Stolfa took 5 of 6
S5Tuma4Stolfa1n = 5Tuma took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTumaStolfaT − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.436.4+4.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaStolfaBasisWin rate · lifetime771 / 1470 vs 176 / 33952.5%51.9%771 / 1470 vs 176 / 339Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StolfaTuma 1.83/Stolfa 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Stolfa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stolfa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 16:00D. Tuma—1111113J. Stolfa—9770
WSep 1 · 18:00D. Tuma—111187113J. Stolfa—86111182
WAug 26 · 13:30D. Tuma—1215123J. Stolfa—1013100
LAug 26 · 12:00D. Tuma—61111892J. Stolfa—114911113
WAug 23 · 21:30D. Tuma—114118123J. Stolfa—811911102
WAug 23 · 18:00D. Tuma—1111910113J. Stolfa—89111282
WAug 22 · 06:30D. Tuma—1111610113J. Stolfa—75111252
WAug 21 · 15:30D. Tuma—1111113J. Stolfa—8660
WAug 20 · 07:00D. Tuma—61111113J. Stolfa—117281
LAug 19 · 12:30D. Tuma—6950J. Stolfa—1111113
D. Tuma10
LSep 9 · 19:00D. Tuma2.3897111182M. Bittner1.53111169113WSep 9 · 18:00M. Pikous1.3699111182D. Tuma3.00111155113LSep 9 · 03:00D. Tuma2.105960A. Hlawatschke1.671111113LSep 9 · 02:30M. Sopko1.441111113D. Tuma2.636960WSep 9 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.6795111552D. Tuma2.101111713113WSep 8 · 23:30D. Tuma2.10115911113V. Cermak1.6781111952LSep 8 · 22:00D. Tuma1.80631581M. Sobisek1.91111113113WSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133WSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113
J. Stolfa10
WSep 9 · 19:30J. Stolfa3.0011512113M. Pikous1.367111071WSep 9 · 18:30M. Bittner1.7391011101J. Stolfa2.0011123123WSep 9 · 17:29J. Hradecky1.80121111792J. Stolfa1.91147611113WSep 9 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.5711105121J. Stolfa2.2581211143LSep 9 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.73411919113J. Stolfa2.00119111752WSep 9 · 14:30J. Stolfa1.674121111113M. Sedlak2.1011148962LSep 8 · 17:00J. Stolfa2.25111111342M. Vedmoch1.57132811113WSep 8 · 16:30J. Stolfa1.611114133M. Sobisek2.20812110LSep 8 · 15:00J. Stolfa2.008870M. Vedmoch1.731111113LSep 8 · 14:00V. Cermak1.61511611113J. Stolfa2.2011311562
Upcoming Matches
D. Tuma
Nothing scheduled
J. Stolfa
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