TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098994
Played Sep 9Finished
Jakub Hradecky
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4111199111917115
Jakub Stolfa
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Hradecky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Hradecky above · Jakub Stolfa below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 19-17
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 107 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Jakub Hradecky at 54.0%
107 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Hradecky 4–8 Jakub Stolfa Jakub Hradecky has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:55What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hradecky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Stolfa
Wrong
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hradecky 1644 vs Stolfa 1546
Hradecky
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hradecky 100% vs Stolfa 40%
Hradecky
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hradecky 70% vs Stolfa 30%
Hradecky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hradecky +5 · Stolfa +1
Hradecky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hradecky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hradecky form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHradecky 1.73 / Stolfa 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hradecky)+0.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098994
Hradecky1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 87 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it98% 44 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it78% 60 of 77
Stolfa2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 61 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back37% 25 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHradecky4wins
AwayStolfa6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStolfa leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHradecky66.7%4 of 6
AwayStolfa100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hradecky6Stolfa4n = 10Hradecky took 6 of 10
S2Hradecky4Stolfa6n = 10Stolfa took 6 of 10
S3Hradecky5Stolfa5n = 10split evenly
S4Hradecky2Stolfa5n = 7Stolfa took 5 of 7
S5Hradecky2Stolfa2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHradeckyStolfaH − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.737.2+0.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHradeckyStolfaBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 477 vs 174 / 33752.8%51.6%252 / 477 vs 174 / 337Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HradeckyHradecky 1.73/Stolfa 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.4%
Hradecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hradecky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 17:00J. Hradecky—1111113J. Stolfa—3760
LSep 3 · 15:00J. Hradecky—8141281J. Stolfa—111214113
LAug 31 · 18:00J. Hradecky—1196111J. Stolfa—61111133
LAug 30 · 09:30J. Hradecky—115871J. Stolfa—71111113
LAug 30 · 08:00J. Hradecky—101111252J. Stolfa—128411113
WAug 19 · 07:00J. Hradecky—1111113J. Stolfa—7430
WAug 5 · 09:01J. Hradecky—1161111113J. Stolfa—71141362
LAug 5 · 08:00J. Hradecky—97111182J. Stolfa—111166113
LAug 2 · 20:30J. Hradecky—10250J. Stolfa—1211113
WAug 2 · 17:00J. Hradecky—119511133J. Stolfa—911115112
J. Hradecky10
WSep 9 · 14:00M. Vedmoch3.0011711632J. Hradecky1.36811711113WSep 7 · 21:30J. Hradecky1.4011137123M. Vedmoch2.7571111101WSep 7 · 20:30L. Krticka2.503430J. Hradecky1.501111113WSep 7 · 19:30J. Hradecky1.3331111113T. Janata3.25117851WSep 7 · 18:30M. Vedmoch2.2011990J. Hradecky1.611311113WSep 3 · 17:00J. Stolfa1.733760J. Hradecky2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153LSep 3 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.918141281J. Stolfa1.80111214113LSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 2 · 02:00M. Chlebecek1.838680J. Hradecky1.831111113
J. Stolfa10
WSep 9 · 14:30J. Stolfa1.674121111113M. Sedlak2.1011148962LSep 8 · 17:00J. Stolfa2.25111111342M. Vedmoch1.57132811113WSep 8 · 16:30J. Stolfa1.611114133M. Sobisek2.20812110LSep 8 · 15:00J. Stolfa2.008870M. Vedmoch1.731111113LSep 8 · 14:00V. Cermak1.61511611113J. Stolfa2.2011311562LSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153LSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113LSep 3 · 17:00J. Stolfa1.733760J. Hradecky2.001111113WSep 3 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.918141281J. Stolfa1.80111214113
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