TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13097899
Played Sep 9Finished
Michal Vedmoch
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118711117611311
Jakub Hradecky
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:19 and never touched — 61.4% is still 61.4%
Graded at full timeJakub Hradecky to win
61.4%
61.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Vedmoch above · Jakub Hradecky below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 86 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Jakub Hradecky at 61.4%
86 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vedmoch 0–2 Jakub Hradecky Michal Vedmoch has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:19What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Hradecky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vedmoch 1655 vs Hradecky 1632
Vedmoch
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vedmoch 80% vs Hradecky 100%
Hradecky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vedmoch 60% vs Hradecky 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vedmoch +1 · Hradecky +5
Hradecky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Hradecky) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hradecky form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVedmoch 3.00 / Hradecky 1.36
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Hradecky)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13097899
Vedmoch3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 123 of 275
Down 0–1, comes back20% 28 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back10% 8 of 82
Hradecky1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 87 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it98% 44 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it78% 60 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVedmoch0wins
AwayHradecky2wins
Hradecky leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricVedmochHradeckyV − HBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match34.039.0−5.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVedmochHradeckyBasisWin rate · lifetime712 / 1320 vs 252 / 48053.9%52.5%712 / 1320 vs 252 / 480Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HradeckyVedmoch 3.00/Hradecky 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66%
Hradecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hradecky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 7 · 21:30M. Vedmoch—71111101J. Hradecky—11137123
LSep 7 · 18:30M. Vedmoch—11990J. Hradecky—1311113
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 9 · 03:30R. Krejci1.917550M. Vedmoch1.801111113LSep 9 · 02:30R. Krejci1.831111113M. Vedmoch1.837550WSep 9 · 01:00R. Pavelka1.731011951M. Vedmoch2.0012311113WSep 8 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.44111112113J. Trefny2.63761481WSep 8 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.53141110113V. Postelt2.381281291WSep 8 · 17:00J. Stolfa2.25111111342M. Vedmoch1.57132811113LSep 8 · 16:00V. Cermak1.4011911113M. Vedmoch2.75911721WSep 8 · 15:00J. Stolfa2.008870M. Vedmoch1.731111113LSep 8 · 14:30M. Vedmoch2.20912120M. Sobisek1.611114143LSep 7 · 21:30J. Hradecky1.4011137123M. Vedmoch2.7571111101
J. Hradecky10
WSep 7 · 21:30J. Hradecky1.4011137123M. Vedmoch2.7571111101WSep 7 · 20:30L. Krticka2.503430J. Hradecky1.501111113WSep 7 · 19:30J. Hradecky1.3331111113T. Janata3.25117851WSep 7 · 18:30M. Vedmoch2.2011990J. Hradecky1.611311113WSep 3 · 17:00J. Stolfa1.733760J. Hradecky2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153LSep 3 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.918141281J. Stolfa1.80111214113LSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 2 · 02:00M. Chlebecek1.838680J. Hradecky1.831111113LSep 2 · 24:30J. Hradecky1.67114961M. Sobisek2.1051111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Vedmoch1 of 7 neutral
J. Hradecky
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