TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13091749
Played Sep 8Finished
Michal Vedmoch
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
14121181012119––
Vladimir Postelt
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 58.8% is still 58.8%
Graded at full timeMichal Vedmoch to win
58.8%
58.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Vedmoch above · Vladimir Postelt below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 87 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Michal Vedmoch at 58.8%
87 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vedmoch 17–15 Vladimir Postelt Vladimir Postelt has won 15 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vedmoch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-15 in 32
Vedmoch
Correct
gap of 2 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vedmoch 1621 vs Postelt 1459
Vedmoch
Correct
both rated, 162 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vedmoch 40% vs Postelt 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vedmoch 50% vs Postelt 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vedmoch +1 · Postelt -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Vedmoch) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vedmoch form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVedmoch 1.53 / Postelt 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Vedmoch)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13091749
Vedmoch1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 206 of 328
Up 2–0, closes it96% 104 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it80% 159 of 198
Postelt2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 47 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVedmoch7wins
AwayPostelt3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVedmoch leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVedmoch100%6 of 6
AwayPostelt75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vedmoch6Postelt4n = 10Vedmoch took 6 of 10
S2Vedmoch8Postelt2n = 10Vedmoch took 8 of 10
S3Vedmoch5Postelt5n = 10split evenly
S4Vedmoch3Postelt2n = 5Vedmoch took 3 of 5
S5Vedmoch2Postelt1n = 3Vedmoch took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVedmochPosteltV − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.732.9+4.8per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVedmochPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime708 / 1315 vs 433 / 81953.8%52.9%708 / 1315 vs 433 / 819Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VedmochVedmoch 1.53/Postelt 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64%
Vedmoch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vedmoch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 20 · 08:00M. Vedmoch—118132113V. Postelt—411111172
WJul 18 · 20:00M. Vedmoch—1111113V. Postelt—7660
WJun 19 · 16:30M. Vedmoch—1511113V. Postelt—13290
WMay 30 · 15:00M. Vedmoch—1111123V. Postelt—74100
WMay 29 · 11:30M. Vedmoch—7111111113V. Postelt—11313762
WMay 11 · 08:30M. Vedmoch—1111133V. Postelt—77110
WMay 7 · 23:00M. Vedmoch—11119113V. Postelt—871161
LMay 4 · 02:30M. Vedmoch—114100V. Postelt—1311123
LApr 6 · 14:00M. Vedmoch—111181192V. Postelt—137114113
LApr 1 · 07:30M. Vedmoch—311651V. Postelt—11911113
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 8 · 17:00J. Stolfa2.25111111342M. Vedmoch1.57132811113LSep 8 · 16:00V. Cermak1.4011911113M. Vedmoch2.75911721WSep 8 · 15:00J. Stolfa2.008870M. Vedmoch1.731111113LSep 8 · 14:30M. Vedmoch2.20912120M. Sobisek1.611114143LSep 7 · 21:30J. Hradecky1.4011137123M. Vedmoch2.7571111101WSep 7 · 20:00T. Janata1.40591351M. Vedmoch2.75111111113WSep 7 · 19:00L. Krticka2.10111180M. Vedmoch1.671313113LSep 7 · 18:30M. Vedmoch2.2011990J. Hradecky1.611311113LSep 7 · 17:30M. Vedmoch1.7721111101M. Sedlak1.9311513123WSep 7 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.8311811143M. Sedlak1.838118121
V. Postelt10
LSep 8 · 23:00V. Postelt2.5010770R. Krejci1.501211113LSep 8 · 02:30J. Dedek3.251111113V. Postelt1.338380WSep 8 · 01:00P. Fojt2.5081040V. Postelt1.501112113LSep 7 · 23:30V. Postelt2.3894100D. Kouble1.531111123LSep 7 · 22:00V. Postelt1.83791371J. Prokupek1.83111111113WSep 7 · 13:00V. Postelt1.20411811113L. Malek4.3311611852LSep 7 · 12:00V. Postelt1.611081151J. Trefny2.2012114113LSep 7 · 11:30J. Plachy2.251111107113V. Postelt1.5777121182WSep 7 · 10:00V. Postelt1.401111113L. Malek2.752690LSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181
Upcoming Matches
M. Vedmoch
Sep 9 · 01:00M. Vedmoch2.10R. Pavelka1.67—Sep 9 · 02:30M. Vedmoch1.83R. Krejci1.83—Sep 9 · 14:00M. Vedmoch3.00J. Hradecky1.36—Sep 9 · 15:30M. Vedmoch1.91M. Sedlak1.80—Sep 9 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.57J. Stolfa2.25—Sep 9 · 22:00M. Vedmoch2.20D. Kouble1.61—Sep 9 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.83R. Krejci1.83—Sep 10 · 01:00M. Vedmoch2.00A. Hlawatschke1.73—Sep 10 · 02:30M. Vedmoch3.00J. Hradecky1.36—
V. Postelt
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