TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13091745
Played Sep 8Finished
Vladimir Postelt
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012711711––––
Richard Krejci
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeRichard Krejci to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Postelt above · Richard Krejci below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 58 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Richard Krejci at 62.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Postelt 9–21 Richard Krejci Vladimir Postelt has won 9 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Krejci
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-21 in 30
Krejci
Correct
gap of 12 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Postelt 1439 vs Krejci 1627
Krejci
Correct
both rated, 188 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Postelt 20% vs Krejci 60%
Krejci
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Postelt 30% vs Krejci 50%
Krejci
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Postelt -2 · Krejci +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Krejci) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPostelt 2.50 / Krejci 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Krejci)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13091745
Postelt2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 47 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Krejci1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 55 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it89% 40 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePostelt4wins
AwayKrejci6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKrejci leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePostelt75%3 of 4
AwayKrejci83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Postelt4Krejci6n = 10Krejci took 6 of 10
S2Postelt4Krejci6n = 10Krejci took 6 of 10
S3Postelt3Krejci7n = 10Krejci took 7 of 10
S4Postelt3Krejci1n = 4Postelt took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricPosteltKrejciP − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.133.3−2.2per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPosteltKrejciBasisWin rate · lifetime433 / 821 vs 185 / 34752.7%53.3%433 / 821 vs 185 / 347Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrejciPostelt 2.50/Krejci 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Krejci · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krejci won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 23:00V. Postelt—10770R. Krejci—1211113
LAug 31 · 22:30V. Postelt—4550R. Krejci—1111113
LAug 30 · 02:59V. Postelt—6930R. Krejci—1111113
LAug 30 · 02:30V. Postelt—8860R. Krejci—1111113
WAug 23 · 03:30V. Postelt—491111113R. Krejci—11119482
WAug 23 · 01:30V. Postelt—1111113R. Krejci—8470
WAug 15 · 02:30V. Postelt—1111113R. Krejci—7250
LAug 10 · 03:00V. Postelt—117111182R. Krejci—711139113
LAug 9 · 22:30V. Postelt—6117101R. Krejci—11811123
WJul 17 · 01:30V. Postelt—11116113R. Krejci—941171
V. Postelt10
LSep 8 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.53141110113V. Postelt2.381281291LSep 8 · 02:30J. Dedek3.251111113V. Postelt1.338380WSep 8 · 01:00P. Fojt2.5081040V. Postelt1.501112113LSep 7 · 23:30V. Postelt2.3894100D. Kouble1.531111123LSep 7 · 22:00V. Postelt1.83791371J. Prokupek1.83111111113WSep 7 · 13:00V. Postelt1.20411811113L. Malek4.3311611852LSep 7 · 12:00V. Postelt1.611081151J. Trefny2.2012114113LSep 7 · 11:30J. Plachy2.251111107113V. Postelt1.5777121182WSep 7 · 10:00V. Postelt1.401111113L. Malek2.752690LSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181
R. Krejci10
WSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480LSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670WSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113WSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682LSep 6 · 19:00R. Krejci2.007680M. Volf1.731111113LSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek1.5061111113R. Krejci2.50118861LSep 5 · 03:28S. Kadavy1.5711811113R. Krejci2.25611491
Upcoming Matches
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