TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099160
Played Sep 9Finished
Michal Vedmoch
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11810125111214––
Jakub Stolfa
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:43 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMichal Vedmoch to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Vedmoch above · Jakub Stolfa below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 83 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Michal Vedmoch at 54.9%
83 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vedmoch 12–8 Jakub Stolfa Jakub Stolfa has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vedmoch
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-8 in 20
Vedmoch
Wrong
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vedmoch 1650 vs Stolfa 1531
Vedmoch
Wrong
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vedmoch 60% vs Stolfa 40%
Vedmoch
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vedmoch 70% vs Stolfa 30%
Vedmoch
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vedmoch +1 · Stolfa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Vedmoch) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVedmoch 1.57 / Stolfa 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Vedmoch)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099160
Vedmoch1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 211 of 330
Up 2–0, closes it96% 108 of 112
Up 1–0, closes it81% 164 of 202
Stolfa2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog54% won 61 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back37% 25 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVedmoch7wins
AwayStolfa3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVedmoch leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVedmoch75%6 of 8
AwayStolfan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vedmoch8Stolfa2n = 10Vedmoch took 8 of 10
S2Vedmoch8Stolfa2n = 10Vedmoch took 8 of 10
S3Vedmoch4Stolfa6n = 10Stolfa took 6 of 10
S4Vedmoch3Stolfa4n = 7Stolfa took 4 of 7
S5Vedmoch3Stolfa2n = 5Vedmoch took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVedmochStolfaV − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.338.2+3.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVedmochStolfaBasisWin rate · lifetime713 / 1322 vs 173 / 33753.9%51.3%713 / 1322 vs 173 / 337Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VedmochVedmoch 1.57/Stolfa 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Vedmoch · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stolfa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 17:00M. Vedmoch—132811113J. Stolfa—111111342
WSep 8 · 15:00M. Vedmoch—1111113J. Stolfa—8870
LAug 26 · 10:30M. Vedmoch—111213722J. Stolfa—6101511113
WJul 18 · 19:00M. Vedmoch—7111114113J. Stolfa—11791692
WJul 18 · 13:00M. Vedmoch—1111113J. Stolfa—7790
WJul 18 · 11:00M. Vedmoch—1211113J. Stolfa—10980
WJul 16 · 08:00M. Vedmoch—111189113J. Stolfa—59111172
LJul 3 · 12:00M. Vedmoch—119661J. Stolfa—61111113
WJul 3 · 08:00M. Vedmoch—11129113J. Stolfa—8101151
LJul 1 · 13:30M. Vedmoch—91161172J. Stolfa—118117113
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 9 · 15:30M. Sedlak1.80118541M. Vedmoch1.9181111113LSep 9 · 14:00M. Vedmoch3.0011711632J. Hradecky1.36811711113WSep 9 · 03:30R. Krejci1.917550M. Vedmoch1.801111113LSep 9 · 02:30R. Krejci1.831111113M. Vedmoch1.837550WSep 9 · 01:00R. Pavelka1.731011951M. Vedmoch2.0012311113WSep 8 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.44111112113J. Trefny2.63761481WSep 8 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.53141110113V. Postelt2.381281291WSep 8 · 17:00J. Stolfa2.25111111342M. Vedmoch1.57132811113LSep 8 · 16:00V. Cermak1.4011911113M. Vedmoch2.75911721WSep 8 · 15:00J. Stolfa2.008870M. Vedmoch1.731111113
J. Stolfa10
LSep 9 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.73411919113J. Stolfa2.00119111752WSep 9 · 14:30J. Stolfa1.674121111113M. Sedlak2.1011148962LSep 8 · 17:00J. Stolfa2.25111111342M. Vedmoch1.57132811113WSep 8 · 16:30J. Stolfa1.611114133M. Sobisek2.20812110LSep 8 · 15:00J. Stolfa2.008870M. Vedmoch1.731111113LSep 8 · 14:00V. Cermak1.61511611113J. Stolfa2.2011311562LSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153LSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113WSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113
Upcoming Matches
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