TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099007
Played Sep 9Finished
Daniel Tuma
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911711116119811
Martin Bittner
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:04 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeMartin Bittner to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Martin Bittner below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 94 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Martin Bittner at 55.6%
94 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tuma 0–3 Martin Bittner Daniel Tuma has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:04What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Bittner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Bittner
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1665 vs Bittner 1510
Tuma
Wrong
both rated, 154 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 60% vs Bittner 0%
Tuma
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 70% vs Bittner 0%
Tuma
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma +1 · Bittner -5
Bittner
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Bittner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bittner form (0%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 2.38 / Bittner 1.53
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Tuma)+5.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099007
Tuma2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 173 of 374
Down 0–1, comes back28% 55 of 198
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 106
Bittner1.53
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As favourite63% won 26 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeTuma0wins
AwayBittner3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderBittner leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma1Bittner2n = 3Bittner took 2 of 3
S2Tuma1Bittner2n = 3Bittner took 2 of 3
S3Tuma1Bittner2n = 3Bittner took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricTumaBittnerT − BBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match33.041.0−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaBittnerBasisWin rate · lifetime771 / 1469 vs 33 / 6952.5%47.8%771 / 1469 vs 33 / 69Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BittnerTuma 2.38/Bittner 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.6%
Bittner · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bittner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJun 18 · 21:30D. Tuma—11612862M. Bittner—8111011113
LJun 18 · 19:30D. Tuma—9570M. Bittner—1111113
LJun 5 · 20:00D. Tuma—811971M. Bittner—11611113
D. Tuma10
WSep 9 · 18:00M. Pikous1.3699111182D. Tuma3.00111155113LSep 9 · 03:00D. Tuma2.105960A. Hlawatschke1.671111113LSep 9 · 02:30M. Sopko1.441111113D. Tuma2.636960WSep 9 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.6795111552D. Tuma2.101111713113WSep 8 · 23:30D. Tuma2.10115911113V. Cermak1.6781111952LSep 8 · 22:00D. Tuma1.80631581M. Sobisek1.91111113113WSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133WSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113WSep 3 · 18:30D. Tuma1.40111212113V. Postelt2.757101481
M. Bittner10
LSep 9 · 18:30M. Bittner1.7391011101J. Stolfa2.0011123123LAug 2 · 20:59M. Sychra1.331113123M. Bittner3.25511100LAug 2 · 20:00M. Sychra1.401111113M. Bittner2.759880LAug 2 · 19:00P. Sebera1.911313113M. Bittner1.80111180LAug 2 · 18:30M. Bittner2.6311320O. Svacha1.441311113LAug 2 · 12:59M. Regner1.4411115113M. Bittner2.63871171LAug 2 · 12:30M. Regner1.50111111123M. Bittner2.506137101LAug 2 · 11:30M. Bittner2.6391090V. Vejvoda1.441112113LAug 2 · 10:30J. Louda2.20118911133M. Bittner1.61611118112LJul 26 · 20:58M. Bittner1.5312470J. Louda2.381411113
Upcoming Matches
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