TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12350768
Played Aug 2Finished
Petr Sebera
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
13111311118––––
Martin Bittner
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Sebera to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Sebera above · Martin Bittner below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 67 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Petr Sebera at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Petr Sebera 0–1 Martin Bittner Petr Sebera has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:42What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Bittner
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sebera 1586 vs Bittner 1575
Sebera
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sebera 40% vs Bittner 0%
Sebera
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sebera 50% vs Bittner 10%
Sebera
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sebera +1 · Bittner -5
Bittner
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sebera) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bittner form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSebera 1.91 / Bittner 1.80
Signal prob.56% / 45%
Edge (Sebera)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12350768
Sebera1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog45% won 154 of 344
Down 0–1, comes back29% 51 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back9% 9 of 99
Bittner1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite67% won 26 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSebera0wins
AwayBittner1wins
Bittner leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSeberaBittnerS − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match44.045.0−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeberaBittnerBasisWin rate · lifetime597 / 1176 vs 33 / 6550.8%50.8%597 / 1176 vs 33 / 65Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeberaSebera 1.91/Bittner 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.5%
Sebera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sebera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 5 · 18:00P. Sebera—14911101M. Bittner—16116123
P. Sebera10
LAug 16 · 02:58M. Sychra1.8311911113P. Sebera1.83811961LAug 16 · 02:00J. Louda1.8312116113P. Sebera1.831061191WAug 16 · 24:30P. Sebera1.61101111113M. Regner2.20126881WAug 15 · 23:00P. Sebera2.631111113M. Pikous1.446790LAug 15 · 22:00M. Sychra1.911111113P. Sebera1.800870WAug 15 · 09:00P. Sebera1.6711127113M. Regner2.106101171LAug 15 · 08:30P. Sebera1.9191114592J. Tazler1.801191211113WAug 15 · 07:00P. Sebera1.731115113M. Regner2.0051340LAug 15 · 06:00P. Saleny1.539111313113P. Sebera2.381113111172LAug 14 · 02:30J. Tazler1.8351214113P. Sebera1.8311101221
M. Bittner10
WSep 9 · 19:00D. Tuma2.3897111182M. Bittner1.53111169113LSep 9 · 18:30M. Bittner1.7391011101J. Stolfa2.0011123123LAug 2 · 20:59M. Sychra1.331113123M. Bittner3.25511100LAug 2 · 20:00M. Sychra1.401111113M. Bittner2.759880LAug 2 · 18:30M. Bittner2.6311320O. Svacha1.441311113LAug 2 · 12:59M. Regner1.4411115113M. Bittner2.63871171LAug 2 · 12:30M. Regner1.50111111123M. Bittner2.506137101LAug 2 · 11:30M. Bittner2.6391090V. Vejvoda1.441112113LAug 2 · 10:30J. Louda2.20118911133M. Bittner1.61611118112LJul 26 · 20:58M. Bittner1.5312470J. Louda2.381411113
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