TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12346859
Played Aug 2Finished
Michal Regner
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11611131171210––
Martin Bittner
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:39 and never touched — 65.5% is still 65.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Regner to win
65.5%
65.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Regner above · Martin Bittner below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 81 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Michal Regner at 65.5%
81 points played in total.
H2H Michal Regner 11–4 Martin Bittner Martin Bittner has won 4 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:39What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Regner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-4 in 15
Regner
Correct
gap of 7 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Regner 1570 vs Bittner 1634
Bittner
Wrong
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 0% vs Bittner 20%
Bittner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 30% vs Bittner 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner -5 · Bittner -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Regner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bittner form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.50 / Bittner 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 35%
Edge (Regner)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12346859
Regner1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 116 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it96% 53 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it71% 85 of 120
Bittner2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog33% won 7 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back27% 3 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRegner8wins
AwayBittner2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRegner leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegner71.4%5 of 7
AwayBittner0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner7Bittner3n = 10Regner took 7 of 10
S2Regner7Bittner3n = 10Regner took 7 of 10
S3Regner9Bittner1n = 10Regner took 9 of 10
S4Regner5Bittner2n = 7Regner took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRegnerBittnerR − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.035.0+5.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerBittnerBasisWin rate · lifetime516 / 1056 vs 33 / 6248.9%53.2%516 / 1056 vs 33 / 62Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerRegner 1.50/Bittner 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.5%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 21 · 09:29M. Regner—1113113M. Bittner—61190
WJun 21 · 07:30M. Regner—101311123M. Bittner—12115101
WMay 11 · 17:30M. Regner—1111113M. Bittner—6850
LMay 11 · 14:30M. Regner—117117112M. Bittner—511911133
WMay 6 · 19:00M. Regner—11511113M. Bittner—811781
WApr 20 · 07:00M. Regner—1311113M. Bittner—11970
WMar 9 · 07:30M. Regner—131011113M. Bittner—1112681
WFeb 25 · 22:00M. Regner—71112113M. Bittner—1191091
LFeb 25 · 21:30M. Regner—11119552M. Bittner—771111113
WFeb 24 · 19:30M. Regner—61111113M. Bittner—118781
M. Regner10
WSep 8 · 13:29M. Regner2.38991111113K. Schopf1.5311118772WSep 8 · 12:30M. Regner2.20101211113K. Schopf1.611210551WSep 8 · 11:00M. Regner2.63911611153S. Kasnik1.44118115132WSep 8 · 10:00J. Tazler2.007870M. Regner1.731111113WSep 6 · 02:59M. Pikous1.738860M. Regner2.001111113WSep 6 · 02:30M. Sychra1.73511931M. Regner2.0011711113LSep 6 · 01:00J. Tazler2.5011811113M. Regner1.50511551LSep 5 · 23:30M. Regner2.25118511102K. Schopf1.57511117123LSep 5 · 22:00M. Regner2.00115861M. Pikous1.7381111113LSep 4 · 09:30M. Vondrak1.5711155113M. Regner2.259131161
M. Bittner10
WSep 9 · 20:00M. Pikous2.008111191M. Bittner1.7311913113WSep 9 · 19:00D. Tuma2.3897111182M. Bittner1.53111169113LSep 9 · 18:30M. Bittner1.7391011101J. Stolfa2.0011123123LAug 2 · 20:59M. Sychra1.331113123M. Bittner3.25511100LAug 2 · 20:00M. Sychra1.401111113M. Bittner2.759880LAug 2 · 19:00P. Sebera1.911313113M. Bittner1.80111180LAug 2 · 18:30M. Bittner2.6311320O. Svacha1.441311113LAug 2 · 12:59M. Regner1.4411115113M. Bittner2.63871171LAug 2 · 11:30M. Bittner2.6391090V. Vejvoda1.441112113LAug 2 · 10:30J. Louda2.20118911133M. Bittner1.61611118112
Upcoming Matches
M. Regner
Sep 9 · 22:00M. Regner2.50S. Kasnik1.50—Sep 9 · 23:00M. Regner1.91M. Sychra1.80—Sep 10 · 24:30M. Regner1.50J. Tazler2.50—Sep 10 · 02:00M. Regner2.25M. Skakal1.57—Sep 10 · 22:30M. Regner1.91M. Sychra1.80—Sep 10 · 23:30M. Regner1.91M. Klement1.80—Sep 11 · 24:30M. Regner1.83J. Louda1.83—Sep 11 · 01:30M. Regner2.50S. Kasnik1.50—
M. Bittner
Nothing scheduled
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