TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098979
Played Sep 9Finished
Marcel Pikous
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111191113911––
Martin Bittner
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:54 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Bittner to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarcel Pikous above · Martin Bittner below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 83 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Martin Bittner at 59.7%
83 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Pikous 3–12 Martin Bittner Marcel Pikous has won 3 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:54What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Bittner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-12 in 15
Bittner
Correct
gap of 9 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pikous 1633 vs Bittner 1525
Pikous
Wrong
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pikous 40% vs Bittner 20%
Pikous
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pikous 30% vs Bittner 10%
Pikous
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pikous -3 · Bittner +1
Pikous
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Bittner) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bittner form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPikous 2.00 / Bittner 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Bittner)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098979
Pikous2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 43 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back30% 17 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Bittner1.73
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite63% won 26 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePikous3wins
AwayBittner7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBittner leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePikousn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBittner75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pikous2Bittner8n = 10Bittner took 8 of 10
S2Pikous5Bittner5n = 10split evenly
S3Pikous3Bittner7n = 10Bittner took 7 of 10
S4Pikous2Bittner4n = 6Bittner took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricPikousBittnerP − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match30.836.2−5.4per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPikousBittnerBasisWin rate · lifetime364 / 690 vs 34 / 7052.8%48.6%364 / 690 vs 34 / 70Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BittnerPikous 2.00/Bittner 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Bittner · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bittner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 2 · 19:30M. Pikous—6990M. Bittner—1111113
WMay 13 · 21:00M. Pikous—111174113M. Bittner—77111182
LMay 13 · 18:00M. Pikous—6830M. Bittner—1111113
WApr 17 · 19:00M. Pikous—91111113M. Bittner—117591
LApr 13 · 15:30M. Pikous—8890M. Bittner—1111113
WApr 12 · 20:30M. Pikous—71111133M. Bittner—1174111
LMar 10 · 22:30M. Pikous—611721M. Bittner—11511113
LMar 10 · 21:00M. Pikous—3570M. Bittner—1111113
LFeb 24 · 22:00M. Pikous—111161282M. Bittner—331114113
LFeb 24 · 21:30M. Pikous—551141M. Bittner—11118113
M. Pikous10
LSep 9 · 19:30J. Stolfa3.0011512113M. Pikous1.367111071LSep 9 · 18:00M. Pikous1.3699111182D. Tuma3.00111155113LSep 6 · 17:29R. Rose1.73111194113M. Pikous2.0049111152WSep 6 · 16:30J. Tazler2.25149511122M. Pikous1.571211119143WSep 6 · 15:30M. Pikous2.10111011113R. Rose1.67812841LSep 6 · 14:30K. Schopf2.101111113M. Pikous1.677890LSep 6 · 02:59M. Pikous1.738860M. Regner2.001111113LSep 6 · 02:00J. Tazler2.759111011143M. Pikous1.40118129122LSep 6 · 24:30M. Pikous1.6163141162K. Schopf2.201111129113WSep 5 · 23:00M. Pikous1.671111113M. Sychra2.107680
M. Bittner10
WSep 9 · 19:00D. Tuma2.3897111182M. Bittner1.53111169113LSep 9 · 18:30M. Bittner1.7391011101J. Stolfa2.0011123123LAug 2 · 20:59M. Sychra1.331113123M. Bittner3.25511100LAug 2 · 20:00M. Sychra1.401111113M. Bittner2.759880LAug 2 · 19:00P. Sebera1.911313113M. Bittner1.80111180LAug 2 · 18:30M. Bittner2.6311320O. Svacha1.441311113LAug 2 · 12:59M. Regner1.4411115113M. Bittner2.63871171LAug 2 · 12:30M. Regner1.50111111123M. Bittner2.506137101LAug 2 · 11:30M. Bittner2.6391090V. Vejvoda1.441112113LAug 2 · 10:30J. Louda2.20118911133M. Bittner1.61611118112
Upcoming Matches
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M. Bittner
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