TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12350767
Played Aug 2Finished
Martin Sychra
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118118––––
Martin Bittner
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:42 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeMartin Sychra to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Martin Bittner below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 58 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Martin Sychra at 64.5%
58 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 3–1 Martin Bittner Martin Bittner has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:42What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Sychra
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Sychra
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1619 vs Bittner 1561
Sychra
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 20% vs Bittner 0%
Sychra
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 40% vs Bittner 10%
Sychra
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra -2 · Bittner -5
Bittner
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Sychra) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bittner form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 1.40 / Bittner 2.75
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Sychra)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12350767
Sychra1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 233 of 381
Up 2–0, closes it93% 101 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it79% 158 of 200
Bittner2.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog33% won 7 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back27% 3 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSychra3wins
AwayBittner1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderSychra leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra2Bittner2n = 4split evenly
S2Sychra3Bittner1n = 4Sychra took 3 of 4
S3Sychra3Bittner1n = 4Sychra took 3 of 4
S4Sychra2Bittner1n = 3Sychra took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSychraBittnerS − BBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match40.535.8+4.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraBittnerBasisWin rate · lifetime773 / 1459 vs 33 / 6653%50%773 / 1459 vs 33 / 66Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SychraSychra 1.40/Bittner 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.3%
Sychra · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sychra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJul 5 · 19:00M. Sychra—11851162M. Bittner—611118113
WJun 19 · 20:00M. Sychra—1111113M. Bittner—4540
WJun 7 · 17:02M. Sychra—81111113M. Bittner—119881
WJun 7 · 15:00M. Sychra—611118113M. Bittner—11991172
M. Sychra10
WSep 9 · 19:30M. Sychra1.44111116113R. Rose2.639131491LSep 9 · 18:30M. Vondrak1.5711117113M. Sychra2.25971131LSep 8 · 12:59R. Urbaniec1.28911118113M. Sychra3.5011561172LSep 8 · 12:30R. Urbaniec1.3611812113M. Sychra3.009111031LSep 8 · 11:30M. Sychra2.751460J. Ruzicka1.401111113LSep 8 · 10:30F. Pusch1.5011811113M. Sychra2.50811531LSep 8 · 08:59M. Sychra2.006550K. Schopf1.731111113WSep 8 · 08:30M. Sychra1.91711156113K. Schopf1.80117131142LSep 8 · 07:00M. Sychra2.0091111882S. Kasnik1.73112611113LSep 8 · 06:00M. Klement2.251111144113M. Sychra1.5744161172
M. Bittner10
WSep 9 · 20:00M. Pikous2.008111191M. Bittner1.7311913113WSep 9 · 19:00D. Tuma2.3897111182M. Bittner1.53111169113LSep 9 · 18:30M. Bittner1.7391011101J. Stolfa2.0011123123LAug 2 · 20:59M. Sychra1.331113123M. Bittner3.25511100LAug 2 · 19:00P. Sebera1.911313113M. Bittner1.80111180LAug 2 · 18:30M. Bittner2.6311320O. Svacha1.441311113LAug 2 · 12:59M. Regner1.4411115113M. Bittner2.63871171LAug 2 · 12:30M. Regner1.50111111123M. Bittner2.506137101LAug 2 · 11:30M. Bittner2.6391090V. Vejvoda1.441112113LAug 2 · 10:30J. Louda2.20118911133M. Bittner1.61611118112
Upcoming Matches
M. Sychra
Sep 9 · 20:30M. Sychra2.38J. Louda1.53—Sep 9 · 23:00M. Sychra1.80M. Regner1.91—Sep 10 · 24:00M. Sychra1.80M. Skakal1.91—Sep 10 · 01:30M. Sychra1.73J. Tazler2.00—Sep 10 · 02:30M. Sychra2.00S. Kasnik1.73—Sep 10 · 22:30M. Sychra1.80M. Regner1.91—Sep 11 · 24:00M. Sychra2.00S. Kasnik1.73—Sep 11 · 01:00M. Sychra1.57M. Klement2.25—Sep 11 · 02:00M. Sychra2.38J. Louda1.53—
M. Bittner
Nothing scheduled
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