TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12346842
Played Aug 2Finished
Jiri Louda
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1168119111181311
Martin Bittner
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:40 and never touched — 64.8% is still 64.8%
Graded at full timeMartin Bittner to win
64.8%
64.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Louda above · Martin Bittner below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 99 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Martin Bittner at 64.8%
99 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Louda 5–19 Martin Bittner Jiri Louda has won 5 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:40What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Bittner
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-19 in 24
Bittner
Wrong
gap of 14 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Louda 1662 vs Bittner 1649
Louda
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Louda 60% vs Bittner 20%
Louda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Louda 40% vs Bittner 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Louda +1 · Bittner -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Bittner) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bittner form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLouda 2.20 / Bittner 1.61
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Bittner)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12346842
Louda2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 77 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back16% 16 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 60
Bittner1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 26 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLouda2wins
AwayBittner8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBittner leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLouda40%2 of 5
AwayBittner100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Louda5Bittner5n = 10split evenly
S2Louda2Bittner8n = 10Bittner took 8 of 10
S3Louda4Bittner6n = 10Bittner took 6 of 10
S4Louda3Bittner3n = 6split evenly
S5Louda1Bittner4n = 5Bittner took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLoudaBittnerL − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.540.7−4.2per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLoudaBittnerBasisWin rate · lifetime628 / 1226 vs 33 / 6151.2%54.1%628 / 1226 vs 33 / 61Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BittnerLouda 2.20/Bittner 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Bittner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Louda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 2 · 10:30J. Louda—118911133M. Bittner—611118112
WJul 26 · 20:58J. Louda—1411113M. Bittner—12470
LJul 26 · 20:30J. Louda—710140M. Bittner—1112163
LJul 25 · 20:30J. Louda—11651262M. Bittner—7111110113
LJul 2 · 18:30J. Louda—911101182M. Bittner—116125113
LJun 21 · 06:30J. Louda—9960M. Bittner—1111113
LJun 14 · 21:30J. Louda—11711422M. Bittner—211911113
LJun 14 · 19:00J. Louda—7880M. Bittner—1111113
LJun 26 · 20:00J. Louda—11912582M. Bittner—9111011113
LMay 11 · 16:30J. Louda—6311101M. Bittner—11117123
J. Louda10
LSep 9 · 19:00J. Louda1.4012811982M. Vondrak2.751011511113WSep 9 · 18:00R. Rose1.678101191J. Louda2.1011127113WSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080LSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:00J. Louda1.831111113K. Schopf1.838660WSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113WSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040WSep 6 · 12:30J. Louda1.831312113P. Saleny1.83111070LSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113
M. Bittner10
WSep 9 · 19:00D. Tuma2.3897111182M. Bittner1.53111169113LSep 9 · 18:30M. Bittner1.7391011101J. Stolfa2.0011123123LAug 2 · 20:59M. Sychra1.331113123M. Bittner3.25511100LAug 2 · 20:00M. Sychra1.401111113M. Bittner2.759880LAug 2 · 19:00P. Sebera1.911313113M. Bittner1.80111180LAug 2 · 18:30M. Bittner2.6311320O. Svacha1.441311113LAug 2 · 12:59M. Regner1.4411115113M. Bittner2.63871171LAug 2 · 12:30M. Regner1.50111111123M. Bittner2.506137101LAug 2 · 11:30M. Bittner2.6391090V. Vejvoda1.441112113LJul 26 · 20:58M. Bittner1.5312470J. Louda2.381411113
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