TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098962
Played Sep 9Finished
Jakub Stolfa
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1175111210117––
Marcel Pikous
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:54 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeMarcel Pikous to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Marcel Pikous below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 74 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Marcel Pikous at 68.8%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Stolfa 0–1 Marcel Pikous Jakub Stolfa has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:54What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Pikous
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stolfa 1565 vs Pikous 1647
Pikous
Wrong
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolfa 80% vs Pikous 40%
Stolfa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolfa 50% vs Pikous 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolfa +3 · Pikous -2
Stolfa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Pikous) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pikous form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolfa 3.00 / Pikous 1.36
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Pikous)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13098962
Stolfa3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog54% won 61 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back37% 25 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 31
Pikous1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 113 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it89% 54 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it76% 78 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeStolfa0wins
AwayPikous1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderPikous leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricStolfaPikousS − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match43.049.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolfaPikousBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 338 vs 364 / 68951.8%52.8%175 / 338 vs 364 / 689Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PikousStolfa 3.00/Pikous 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66%
Pikous · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stolfa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 4 · 14:00J. Stolfa—61111782M. Pikous—117911113
J. Stolfa10
WSep 9 · 18:30M. Bittner1.7391011101J. Stolfa2.0011123123WSep 9 · 17:29J. Hradecky1.80121111792J. Stolfa1.91147611113WSep 9 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.5711105121J. Stolfa2.2581211143LSep 9 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.73411919113J. Stolfa2.00119111752WSep 9 · 14:30J. Stolfa1.674121111113M. Sedlak2.1011148962LSep 8 · 17:00J. Stolfa2.25111111342M. Vedmoch1.57132811113WSep 8 · 16:30J. Stolfa1.611114133M. Sobisek2.20812110LSep 8 · 15:00J. Stolfa2.008870M. Vedmoch1.731111113LSep 8 · 14:00V. Cermak1.61511611113J. Stolfa2.2011311562LSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153
M. Pikous10
LSep 9 · 18:00M. Pikous1.3699111182D. Tuma3.00111155113LSep 6 · 17:29R. Rose1.73111194113M. Pikous2.0049111152WSep 6 · 16:30J. Tazler2.25149511122M. Pikous1.571211119143WSep 6 · 15:30M. Pikous2.10111011113R. Rose1.67812841LSep 6 · 14:30K. Schopf2.101111113M. Pikous1.677890LSep 6 · 02:59M. Pikous1.738860M. Regner2.001111113LSep 6 · 02:00J. Tazler2.759111011143M. Pikous1.40118129122LSep 6 · 24:30M. Pikous1.6163141162K. Schopf2.201111129113WSep 5 · 23:00M. Pikous1.671111113M. Sychra2.107680WSep 5 · 22:00M. Regner2.00115861M. Pikous1.7381111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Stolfa
M. Pikous
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