TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12421555
Played Aug 14Finished
Jakub Tazler
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
51112101412112––
Petr Sebera
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Sebera to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Tazler above · Petr Sebera below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 77 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Petr Sebera at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Tazler 3–7 Petr Sebera Jakub Tazler has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:06What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Sebera
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Sebera
Wrong
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tazler 1647 vs Sebera 1720
Sebera
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tazler 0% vs Sebera 20%
Sebera
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tazler 30% vs Sebera 60%
Sebera
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tazler -5 · Sebera +1
Tazler
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sebera)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sebera form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTazler 1.83 / Sebera 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sebera)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12421555
Tazler1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Sebera1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTazler3wins
AwaySebera7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSebera leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTazler75%3 of 4
AwaySebera100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tazler4Sebera6n = 10Sebera took 6 of 10
S2Tazler3Sebera7n = 10Sebera took 7 of 10
S3Tazler3Sebera7n = 10Sebera took 7 of 10
S4Tazler3Sebera2n = 5Tazler took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricTazlerSeberaT − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.933.9−2.0per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTazlerSeberaBasisWin rate · lifetime385 / 708 vs 640 / 124954.4%51.2%385 / 708 vs 640 / 1249Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeberaTazler 1.83/Sebera 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sebera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tazler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 15 · 22:30J. Tazler—1850P. Sebera—1111113
LJul 13 · 20:30J. Tazler—2880P. Sebera—1111113
WJul 10 · 10:30J. Tazler—11511113P. Sebera—411471
LJul 10 · 06:00J. Tazler—8990P. Sebera—1111113
WJun 15 · 09:28J. Tazler—151110113P. Sebera—1361281
WJun 15 · 07:00J. Tazler—1111113P. Sebera—4780
LMar 12 · 03:30J. Tazler—751161P. Sebera—11115113
LDec 4 · 16:00J. Tazler—11990P. Sebera—1311113
LOct 26 · 19:00J. Tazler—911611102P. Sebera—113115123
LOct 4 · 11:00J. Tazler—1111791P. Sebera—61311113
J. Tazler10
LSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102WSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113LSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113LSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113LSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100WSep 6 · 17:00K. Schopf2.206440J. Tazler1.611111113LSep 6 · 16:30J. Tazler2.25149511122M. Pikous1.571211119143WSep 6 · 15:00J. Tazler1.57118165113K. Schopf2.25411141142LSep 6 · 14:00R. Rose1.571311113J. Tazler2.2511870WSep 6 · 03:30J. Tazler1.671112123K. Schopf2.10310100
P. Sebera10
LAug 16 · 02:58M. Sychra1.8311911113P. Sebera1.83811961LAug 16 · 02:00J. Louda1.8312116113P. Sebera1.831061191WAug 16 · 24:30P. Sebera1.61101111113M. Regner2.20126881WAug 15 · 23:00P. Sebera2.631111113M. Pikous1.446790LAug 15 · 22:00M. Sychra1.911111113P. Sebera1.800870WAug 15 · 09:00P. Sebera1.6711127113M. Regner2.106101171LAug 15 · 08:30P. Sebera1.9191114592J. Tazler1.801191211113WAug 15 · 07:00P. Sebera1.731115113M. Regner2.0051340LAug 15 · 06:00P. Saleny1.539111313113P. Sebera2.381113111172WAug 14 · 01:00M. Wagner1.57711781P. Sebera2.2511311113
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