TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12433113
Played Aug 15Finished
Martin Sychra
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
110118117––––
Petr Sebera
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:51 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Sychra to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Petr Sebera below
Set 1 · 11-0
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 48 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Martin Sychra at 60.0%
48 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 63–55 Petr Sebera Petr Sebera has won 55 of their 118 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:51What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sebera
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
63-55 in 118
Sychra
Correct
gap of 8 in 118, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1689 vs Sebera 1720
Sebera
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 80% vs Sebera 40%
Sychra
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 60% vs Sebera 30%
Sychra
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra +2 · Sebera +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sebera) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sebera form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 1.91 / Sebera 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sebera)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12433113
Sychra1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 180 of 385
Down 0–1, comes back24% 48 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back7% 8 of 117
Sebera1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 203 of 355
Up 2–0, closes it96% 104 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it77% 151 of 197
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSychra4wins
AwaySebera6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSebera leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychran = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySebera62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra2Sebera8n = 10Sebera took 8 of 10
S2Sychra7Sebera3n = 10Sychra took 7 of 10
S3Sychra5Sebera5n = 10split evenly
S4Sychra4Sebera3n = 7Sychra took 4 of 7
S5Sychra1Sebera3n = 4Sebera took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSychraSeberaSychra − SeberaBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.337.9−1.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraSeberaBasisWin rate · lifetime790 / 1496 vs 642 / 125452.8%51.2%790 / 1496 vs 642 / 1254Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeberaSychra 1.91/Sebera 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sebera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sychra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 2 · 22:30M. Sychra—1111123P. Sebera—83100
LAug 2 · 18:00M. Sychra—513871P. Sebera—111111113
WAug 1 · 13:00M. Sychra—1011116113P. Sebera—12481182
WAug 1 · 10:30M. Sychra—71111113P. Sebera—113661
WAug 1 · 07:00M. Sychra—71111113P. Sebera—118691
LJul 30 · 12:00M. Sychra—5780P. Sebera—1111113
LJul 29 · 07:00M. Sychra—8290P. Sebera—1111113
LJul 16 · 01:30M. Sychra—613114102P. Sebera—1111511123
LJul 15 · 21:02M. Sychra—11961192P. Sebera—711119113
LJul 15 · 20:00M. Sychra—31141192P. Sebera—118115113
M. Sychra10
LSep 8 · 11:30M. Sychra2.751460J. Ruzicka1.401111113LSep 8 · 10:30F. Pusch1.5011811113M. Sychra2.50811531LSep 8 · 08:59M. Sychra2.006550K. Schopf1.731111113WSep 8 · 08:30M. Sychra1.91711156113K. Schopf1.80117131142LSep 8 · 07:00M. Sychra2.0091111882S. Kasnik1.73112611113LSep 8 · 06:00M. Klement2.251111144113M. Sychra1.5744161172LSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113WSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113
P. Sebera10
LAug 16 · 02:58M. Sychra1.8311911113P. Sebera1.83811961LAug 16 · 02:00J. Louda1.8312116113P. Sebera1.831061191WAug 16 · 24:30P. Sebera1.61101111113M. Regner2.20126881WAug 15 · 23:00P. Sebera2.631111113M. Pikous1.446790WAug 15 · 09:00P. Sebera1.6711127113M. Regner2.106101171LAug 15 · 08:30P. Sebera1.9191114592J. Tazler1.801191211113WAug 15 · 07:00P. Sebera1.731115113M. Regner2.0051340LAug 15 · 06:00P. Saleny1.539111313113P. Sebera2.381113111172LAug 14 · 02:30J. Tazler1.8351214113P. Sebera1.8311101221WAug 14 · 01:00M. Wagner1.57711781P. Sebera2.2511311113
Upcoming Matches
M. Sychra1 of 3 neutral
P. Sebera
Nothing scheduled
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