TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114740
Played Sep 12Finished
Martin Sychra
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511119118118––
Petr Saleny
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:09 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timePetr Saleny to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Petr Saleny below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 74 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Petr Saleny at 62.2%
74 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 7–15 Petr Saleny Martin Sychra has won 7 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Saleny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-15 in 22
Saleny
Wrong
gap of 8 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1645 vs Saleny 1669
Saleny
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 60% vs Saleny 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 60% vs Saleny 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra +2 · Saleny +3
Saleny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Saleny) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Saleny form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 2.75 / Saleny 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Saleny)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114740
Sychra2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 181 of 379
Down 0–1, comes back26% 51 of 198
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 113
Saleny1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 59 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it83% 44 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSychra2wins
AwaySaleny8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSaleny leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychra33.3%1 of 3
AwaySaleny85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra3Saleny7n = 10Saleny took 7 of 10
S2Sychra3Saleny7n = 10Saleny took 7 of 10
S3Sychra4Saleny6n = 10Saleny took 6 of 10
S4Sychra2Saleny6n = 8Saleny took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSychraSalenySychra − SalenyBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.440.6−6.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraSalenyBasisWin rate · lifetime799 / 1515 vs 212 / 41552.7%51.1%799 / 1515 vs 212 / 415Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SalenySychra 2.75/Saleny 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.3%
Saleny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sychra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 07:30M. Sychra—51111113P. Saleny—119881
LJul 29 · 10:30M. Sychra—1221171P. Saleny—14118113
LJul 29 · 06:00M. Sychra—35100P. Saleny—1111123
LJul 8 · 13:11M. Sychra—511591P. Saleny—11711113
LJul 8 · 10:30M. Sychra—94110P. Saleny—1111133
LJul 8 · 06:30M. Sychra—1211451P. Saleny—101311113
LJul 4 · 13:00M. Sychra—12311171P. Saleny—14116193
LJul 4 · 10:30M. Sychra—119581P. Saleny—41111113
LJul 4 · 06:30M. Sychra—51141192P. Saleny—119116113
WJul 2 · 10:00M. Sychra—11101111113P. Saleny—71211342
M. Sychra10
WSep 12 · 06:30S. Kasnik1.67911451M. Sychra2.1011811113WSep 11 · 02:59J. Louda1.50911591M. Sychra2.5011911113LSep 11 · 02:00M. Sychra2.38561251J. Louda1.53111110113WSep 11 · 01:00M. Sychra1.5711119113M. Klement2.25761181LSep 11 · 24:00S. Kasnik1.7381111113M. Sychra2.00116991LSep 10 · 22:30M. Regner1.83111181113M. Sychra1.8399111132WSep 10 · 02:58M. Sychra1.8371111113M. Regner1.83115491WSep 10 · 02:30M. Sychra1.9611118113M. Pikous1.67931181LSep 10 · 01:30J. Tazler2.0061111113M. Sychra1.73112321WSep 10 · 24:00M. Sychra1.801114113M. Skakal1.9161270
P. Saleny10
WSep 12 · 06:00P. Saleny2.10111158113M. Klement1.6745111152WSep 9 · 13:00V. Vejvoda1.7391017101P. Saleny2.00111215123WSep 9 · 12:00P. Saleny2.0012119113R. Wagner1.731051171LSep 9 · 11:30V. Vejvoda1.61131111113P. Saleny2.201181391LSep 9 · 10:00P. Saleny2.001111371F. Pusch1.7313911113WSep 9 · 09:28P. Saleny1.7351120113F. Pusch2.001181891WSep 9 · 08:30R. Wagner1.611110551P. Saleny2.2061211113WSep 9 · 07:30P. Saleny2.381111113V. Vejvoda1.535870WSep 9 · 06:30F. Pusch1.73591181P. Saleny2.0011114113LSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040
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