TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13113913
Played Sep 12Finished
Petr Saleny
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114115511811115
Milan Klement
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:33 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timePetr Saleny to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Saleny above · Milan Klement below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 82 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Petr Saleny at 60.5%
82 points played in total.
H2H Petr Saleny 11–15 Milan Klement Petr Saleny has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:33What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Klement
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-15 in 26
Klement
Wrong
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Saleny 1669 vs Klement 1588
Saleny
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Saleny 60% vs Klement 0%
Saleny
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Saleny 60% vs Klement 10%
Saleny
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Saleny +2 · Klement -5
Klement
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Klement) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klement form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSaleny 2.10 / Klement 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Saleny)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13113913
Saleny2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 33 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back14% 7 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Klement1.67
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 116 of 210
Up 2–0, closes it90% 62 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it72% 88 of 123
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSaleny6wins
AwayKlement4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSaleny leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSaleny80%4 of 5
AwayKlement60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Saleny5Klement5n = 10split evenly
S2Saleny7Klement3n = 10Saleny took 7 of 10
S3Saleny3Klement7n = 10Klement took 7 of 10
S4Saleny3Klement4n = 7Klement took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSalenyKlementS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.934.2−0.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalenyKlementBasisWin rate · lifetime212 / 416 vs 450 / 88051%51.1%212 / 416 vs 450 / 880Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlementSaleny 2.10/Klement 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Klement · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Saleny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 06:00P. Saleny—111158113M. Klement—45111152
LSep 6 · 08:30P. Saleny—125781M. Klement—101111113
LJul 5 · 07:30P. Saleny—4790M. Klement—1111113
WJul 2 · 06:30P. Saleny—11113113M. Klement—711181
WMay 11 · 17:30P. Saleny—91111113M. Klement—119251
LMay 11 · 16:00P. Saleny—511551M. Klement—11811113
WApr 23 · 19:00P. Saleny—1111128113M. Klement—59141172
LApr 9 · 19:30P. Saleny—2190M. Klement—1111113
WApr 4 · 08:00P. Saleny—1211113M. Klement—10890
WMar 6 · 09:58P. Saleny—51111113M. Klement—117831
P. Saleny10
LSep 12 · 07:30M. Sychra2.7551111113P. Saleny1.40119881WSep 9 · 13:00V. Vejvoda1.7391017101P. Saleny2.00111215123WSep 9 · 12:00P. Saleny2.0012119113R. Wagner1.731051171LSep 9 · 11:30V. Vejvoda1.61131111113P. Saleny2.201181391LSep 9 · 10:00P. Saleny2.001111371F. Pusch1.7313911113WSep 9 · 09:28P. Saleny1.7351120113F. Pusch2.001181891WSep 9 · 08:30R. Wagner1.611110551P. Saleny2.2061211113WSep 9 · 07:30P. Saleny2.381111113V. Vejvoda1.535870WSep 9 · 06:30F. Pusch1.73591181P. Saleny2.0011114113LSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040
M. Klement10
WSep 12 · 07:00M. Klement1.61119114133S. Kasnik2.20911711112LSep 11 · 02:30S. Kasnik2.201161311113M. Klement1.6181115982LSep 11 · 01:00M. Sychra1.5711119113M. Klement2.25761181LSep 10 · 23:30M. Klement1.80116761M. Regner1.9191111113LSep 10 · 22:00M. Klement2.1081111982J. Louda1.67118811113LSep 9 · 21:00M. Klement1.8371111792D. Hofman1.83113211113LSep 9 · 20:30M. Skakal2.1071111113M. Klement1.67115791WSep 9 · 19:30M. Klement1.831111113D. Hofman1.834570LSep 9 · 18:30J. Tazler2.38155911113M. Klement1.53131111792LSep 8 · 09:28S. Kasnik2.2581111113M. Klement1.57116581
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