TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114741
Played Sep 12Finished
Milan Klement
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1199111174111311
Sebastian Kasnik
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:10 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeSebastian Kasnik to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMilan Klement above · Sebastian Kasnik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 97 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Sebastian Kasnik at 64.9%
97 points played in total.
H2H Milan Klement 32–24 Sebastian Kasnik Sebastian Kasnik has won 24 of their 56 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:10What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Klement
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-24 in 56
Klement
Correct
gap of 8 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klement 1588 vs Kasnik 1633
Kasnik
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klement 0% vs Kasnik 80%
Kasnik
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klement 10% vs Kasnik 60%
Kasnik
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klement -5 · Kasnik -1
Klement
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Klement) · live re-read · sealed at 35% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasnik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlement 1.61 / Kasnik 2.20
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kasnik)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114741
Klement1.61
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 116 of 210
Up 2–0, closes it90% 62 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it72% 88 of 123
Kasnik2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 126 of 315
Down 0–1, comes back20% 33 of 166
Down 0–2, comes back9% 9 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlement7wins
AwayKasnik3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKlement leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlement83.3%5 of 6
AwayKasnik50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klement6Kasnik4n = 10Klement took 6 of 10
S2Klement5Kasnik5n = 10split evenly
S3Klement6Kasnik4n = 10Klement took 6 of 10
S4Klement4Kasnik5n = 9Kasnik took 5 of 9
S5Klement4Kasnik1n = 5Klement took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlementKasnikKlement − KasnikBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.439.9+3.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlementKasnikBasisWin rate · lifetime449 / 879 vs 476 / 100251.1%47.5%449 / 879 vs 476 / 1002Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlementKlement 1.61/Kasnik 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Klement · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Klement won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 07:00M. Klement—119114133S. Kasnik—911711112
LSep 11 · 02:30M. Klement—81115982S. Kasnik—1161311113
LSep 8 · 09:28M. Klement—116581S. Kasnik—81111113
LSep 8 · 08:00M. Klement—31110111S. Kasnik—11912133
WSep 3 · 08:00M. Klement—127119113S. Kasnik—101161192
WSep 2 · 24:30M. Klement—591211113S. Kasnik—111110762
WAug 26 · 07:00M. Klement—991111113S. Kasnik—11117552
WAug 24 · 08:00M. Klement—1111113S. Kasnik—7520
WAug 20 · 10:00M. Klement—11118113S. Kasnik—841121
WJun 29 · 10:30M. Klement—111210143S. Kasnik—81012121
M. Klement10
LSep 12 · 06:00P. Saleny2.10111158113M. Klement1.6745111152LSep 11 · 02:30S. Kasnik2.201161311113M. Klement1.6181115982LSep 11 · 01:00M. Sychra1.5711119113M. Klement2.25761181LSep 10 · 23:30M. Klement1.80116761M. Regner1.9191111113LSep 10 · 22:00M. Klement2.1081111982J. Louda1.67118811113LSep 9 · 21:00M. Klement1.8371111792D. Hofman1.83113211113LSep 9 · 20:30M. Skakal2.1071111113M. Klement1.67115791WSep 9 · 19:30M. Klement1.831111113D. Hofman1.834570LSep 9 · 18:30J. Tazler2.38155911113M. Klement1.53131111792LSep 8 · 09:28S. Kasnik2.2581111113M. Klement1.57116581
S. Kasnik10
LSep 12 · 08:00P. Saleny1.5011118113S. Kasnik2.50581121LSep 12 · 06:30S. Kasnik1.67911451M. Sychra2.1011811113WSep 11 · 03:30S. Kasnik1.5211711113M. Regner2.35811881WSep 11 · 02:30S. Kasnik2.201161311113M. Klement1.6181115982WSep 11 · 01:30M. Regner2.509390S. Kasnik1.501111113WSep 11 · 24:00S. Kasnik1.7381111113M. Sychra2.00116991WSep 10 · 23:00J. Louda1.67111110992S. Kasnik2.10841211113LSep 10 · 02:59R. Urbaniec1.501111113S. Kasnik2.507790LSep 10 · 02:30J. Ruzicka1.231111911143S. Kasnik3.35513119122WSep 8 · 09:28S. Kasnik2.2581111113M. Klement1.57116581
Upcoming Matches
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S. Kasnik
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