TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120289
Played Sep 12Finished
Petr Saleny
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116111111––––
Michal Regner
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPetr Saleny above · Michal Regner below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 11-1
Point 41 set 3, 11-1
41 points played in total.
H2H Petr Saleny 17–12 Michal Regner Michal Regner has won 12 of their 29 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Saleny beat Regner 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Saleny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Saleny form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSaleny 1.50 / Regner 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Saleny)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120289
Saleny1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite61% won 59 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it83% 44 of 53
Regner2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 118 of 263
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSaleny6wins
AwayRegner4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSaleny leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSaleny80%4 of 5
AwayRegner60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Saleny5Regner5n = 10split evenly
S2Saleny5Regner5n = 10split evenly
S3Saleny6Regner4n = 10Saleny took 6 of 10
S4Saleny5Regner2n = 7Saleny took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSalenyRegnerS − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.436.9+0.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalenyRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 415 vs 508 / 105451.8%48.2%215 / 415 vs 508 / 1054Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SalenySaleny 1.50/Regner 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Saleny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Saleny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 15 · 08:00P. Saleny45101211123M. Regner3812106101
WJul 29 · 07:30P. Saleny4312911113M. Regner341011941
LJul 8 · 11:30P. Saleny155550M. Regner331111113
LJul 8 · 09:30P. Saleny48101171192M. Regner47128115113
WJul 8 · 07:30P. Saleny391216113M. Regner32101480
LApr 4 · 09:30P. Saleny28113771M. Regner3851111113
WApr 4 · 06:30P. Saleny48861211113M. Regner45111110852
LMar 13 · 08:30P. Saleny29611391M. Regner4211911113
WFeb 27 · 10:00P. Saleny341111123M. Regner2367100
WFeb 27 · 09:30P. Saleny45111211113M. Regner37714791
P. Saleny10
WSep 12 · 12:30S. Kasnik2.6311840P. Saleny1.441311113WSep 12 · 11:30P. Saleny1.6111119123M. Regner2.205611101WSep 12 · 10:30M. Sychra2.504511101P. Saleny1.5011117123WSep 12 · 08:59P. Saleny1.5011611113S. Kasnik2.50511711WSep 12 · 08:00P. Saleny1.5011118113S. Kasnik2.50581121LSep 12 · 07:30M. Sychra2.7551111113P. Saleny1.40119881WSep 12 · 06:00P. Saleny2.10111158113M. Klement1.6745111152WSep 9 · 13:00V. Vejvoda1.7391017101P. Saleny2.00111215123WSep 9 · 12:00P. Saleny2.0012119113R. Wagner1.731051171LSep 9 · 11:30V. Vejvoda1.61131111113P. Saleny2.201181391
M. Regner10
WSep 12 · 12:00M. Regner1.8311119113M. Sychra1.83881141LSep 12 · 11:30P. Saleny1.6111119123M. Regner2.205611101WSep 12 · 10:00M. Regner2.631111113S. Kasnik1.446690LSep 11 · 03:30S. Kasnik1.5211711113M. Regner2.35811881LSep 11 · 01:30M. Regner2.509390S. Kasnik1.501111113WSep 11 · 24:30J. Louda1.73311761M. Regner2.0011511113WSep 10 · 23:30M. Klement1.80116761M. Regner1.9191111113WSep 10 · 22:30M. Regner1.83111181113M. Sychra1.8399111132LSep 10 · 02:58M. Sychra1.8371111113M. Regner1.83115491WSep 10 · 02:00M. Skakal1.57111179102M. Regner2.25661111123
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