TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119315
Played Sep 12Finished
Petr Saleny
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115611117111––
Sebastian Kasnik
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingPetr Saleny above · Sebastian Kasnik below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 63 set 4, 11-1
63 points played in total.
H2H Petr Saleny 13–5 Sebastian Kasnik Sebastian Kasnik has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Saleny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasnik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSaleny 1.50 / Kasnik 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Saleny)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119315
Saleny1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 59 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it83% 44 of 53
Kasnik2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 126 of 315
Down 0–1, comes back20% 33 of 166
Down 0–2, comes back9% 9 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSaleny7wins
AwayKasnik3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSaleny leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSaleny100%5 of 5
AwayKasnik60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Saleny5Kasnik5n = 10split evenly
S2Saleny7Kasnik3n = 10Saleny took 7 of 10
S3Saleny6Kasnik4n = 10Saleny took 6 of 10
S4Saleny4Kasnik1n = 5Saleny took 4 of 5
S5Saleny3Kasnik2n = 5Saleny took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSalenyKasnikS − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.636.7+4.9per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalenyKasnikBasisWin rate · lifetime212 / 414 vs 476 / 100151.2%47.6%212 / 414 vs 476 / 1001Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SalenySaleny 1.50/Kasnik 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Saleny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Saleny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 12:30P. Saleny—811611113S. Kasnik—11711872
WSep 4 · 08:00P. Saleny—5121111113S. Kasnik—111051322
WAug 25 · 12:30P. Saleny—115611113S. Kasnik—71111972
LAug 25 · 08:00P. Saleny—9111419152S. Kasnik—11131217173
WJul 1 · 12:30P. Saleny—1111113S. Kasnik—6930
WJul 1 · 06:30P. Saleny—1111113S. Kasnik—8970
LMay 14 · 16:00P. Saleny—101170S. Kasnik—1213113
WMay 11 · 14:30P. Saleny—1114113S. Kasnik—71230
WApr 23 · 21:30P. Saleny—1111113S. Kasnik—5860
LApr 23 · 18:30P. Saleny—311101192S. Kasnik—117127113
P. Saleny10
WSep 12 · 08:00P. Saleny1.5011118113S. Kasnik2.50581121LSep 12 · 07:30M. Sychra2.7551111113P. Saleny1.40119881WSep 12 · 06:00P. Saleny2.10111158113M. Klement1.6745111152WSep 9 · 13:00V. Vejvoda1.7391017101P. Saleny2.00111215123WSep 9 · 12:00P. Saleny2.0012119113R. Wagner1.731051171LSep 9 · 11:30V. Vejvoda1.61131111113P. Saleny2.201181391LSep 9 · 10:00P. Saleny2.001111371F. Pusch1.7313911113WSep 9 · 09:28P. Saleny1.7351120113F. Pusch2.001181891WSep 9 · 08:30R. Wagner1.611110551P. Saleny2.2061211113WSep 9 · 07:30P. Saleny2.381111113V. Vejvoda1.535870
S. Kasnik10
LSep 12 · 08:00P. Saleny1.5011118113S. Kasnik2.50581121LSep 12 · 07:00M. Klement1.61119114133S. Kasnik2.20911711112LSep 12 · 06:30S. Kasnik1.67911451M. Sychra2.1011811113WSep 11 · 03:30S. Kasnik1.5211711113M. Regner2.35811881WSep 11 · 02:30S. Kasnik2.201161311113M. Klement1.6181115982WSep 11 · 01:30M. Regner2.509390S. Kasnik1.501111113WSep 11 · 24:00S. Kasnik1.7381111113M. Sychra2.00116991WSep 10 · 23:00J. Louda1.67111110992S. Kasnik2.10841211113LSep 10 · 02:59R. Urbaniec1.501111113S. Kasnik2.507790LSep 10 · 02:30J. Ruzicka1.231111911143S. Kasnik3.35513119122
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