TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13105048
Played Sep 11Finished
Jiri Louda
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311115711611––
Michal Regner
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Louda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Louda above · Michal Regner below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 65 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Jiri Louda at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Louda 60–69 Michal Regner Jiri Louda has won 60 of their 129 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:49What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Louda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
60-69 in 129
Regner
Correct
gap of 9 in 129, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Louda 1706 vs Regner 1695
Louda
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Louda 60% vs Regner 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Louda 70% vs Regner 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Louda -1 · Regner +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Louda)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLouda 1.73 / Regner 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Louda)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13105048
Louda1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite57% won 201 of 352
Up 2–0, closes it88% 92 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it74% 145 of 197
Regner2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 119 of 266
Down 0–1, comes back24% 31 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLouda4wins
AwayRegner6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRegner leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLouda100%3 of 3
AwayRegner85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Louda3Regner7n = 10Regner took 7 of 10
S2Louda1Regner9n = 10Regner took 9 of 10
S3Louda7Regner3n = 10Louda took 7 of 10
S4Louda5Regner3n = 8Louda took 5 of 8
S5Louda2Regner2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLoudaRegnerL − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.440.8−0.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLoudaRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime608 / 1194 vs 510 / 106050.9%48.1%608 / 1194 vs 510 / 1060Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LoudaLouda 1.73/Regner 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Louda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 2 · 23:00J. Louda—8890M. Regner—1111113
WAug 2 · 11:00J. Louda—11911113M. Regner—511971
WAug 1 · 07:30J. Louda—671111113M. Regner—11116862
LJul 30 · 22:00J. Louda—871791M. Regner—111115113
LJul 28 · 03:28J. Louda—109111382M. Regner—1211311113
LJul 28 · 24:30J. Louda—411981M. Regner—11911113
LJul 21 · 22:00J. Louda—5380M. Regner—1111113
WJul 18 · 22:00J. Louda—1191113133M. Regner—511615112
LJul 12 · 14:00J. Louda—1011111192M. Regner—121372113
WJul 11 · 06:00J. Louda—13711113M. Regner—1111871
J. Louda10
LSep 10 · 23:00J. Louda1.67111110992S. Kasnik2.10841211113WSep 10 · 22:00M. Klement2.1081111982J. Louda1.67118811113WSep 9 · 21:28J. Louda1.44131112113M. Vondrak2.631591051WSep 9 · 20:30J. Louda1.5313911113M. Sychra2.381111691LSep 9 · 19:00J. Louda1.4012811982M. Vondrak2.751011511113WSep 9 · 18:00R. Rose1.678101191J. Louda2.1011127113WSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080LSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:00J. Louda1.831111113K. Schopf1.838660
M. Regner10
WSep 10 · 23:30M. Klement1.80116761M. Regner1.9191111113WSep 10 · 22:30M. Regner1.83111181113M. Sychra1.8399111132LSep 10 · 02:58M. Sychra1.8371111113M. Regner1.83115491WSep 10 · 02:00M. Skakal1.57111179102M. Regner2.25661111123LSep 10 · 24:30M. Regner1.508613101J. Tazler2.50111111123WSep 9 · 23:00M. Regner1.911115113M. Sychra1.8081390LSep 9 · 22:00M. Pikous1.821311113M. Regner1.8811790WSep 8 · 13:29M. Regner2.38991111113K. Schopf1.5311118772WSep 8 · 12:30M. Regner2.20101211113K. Schopf1.611210551WSep 8 · 11:00M. Regner2.63911611153S. Kasnik1.44118115132
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