TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13113983
Played Sep 12Finished
Patrik Pycha
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
91112141161210116
Martin Sobisek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:04 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Sobisek to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPatrik Pycha above · Martin Sobisek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 102 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Martin Sobisek at 56.0%
102 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Pycha 28–20 Martin Sobisek Martin Sobisek has won 20 of their 48 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:04What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Sobisek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-20 in 48
Pycha
Correct
gap of 8 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pycha 1554 vs Sobisek 1720
Sobisek
Wrong
both rated, 166 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pycha 40% vs Sobisek 60%
Sobisek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pycha 30% vs Sobisek 70%
Sobisek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pycha +2 · Sobisek +3
Sobisek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sobisek) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pycha form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPycha 1.83 / Sobisek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sobisek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13113983
Pycha1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Sobisek1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePycha6wins
AwaySobisek4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPycha leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePycha83.3%5 of 6
AwaySobisek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pycha6Sobisek4n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S2Pycha6Sobisek4n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S3Pycha6Sobisek4n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S4Pycha4Sobisek2n = 6Pycha took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPychaSobisekP − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.132.8+3.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPychaSobisekBasisWin rate · lifetime490 / 937 vs 558 / 118252.3%47.2%490 / 937 vs 558 / 1182Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobisekPycha 1.83/Sobisek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sobisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pycha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 22:30P. Pycha4291111113M. Sobisek31119651
WAug 14 · 01:00P. Pycha4011117113M. Sobisek34771191
LAug 7 · 23:00P. Pycha47115911112M. Sobisek47611116133
WAug 7 · 01:00P. Pycha4111118113M. Sobisek35971181
LJul 24 · 02:58P. Pycha28371171M. Sobisek3711114113
WJul 23 · 22:30P. Pycha331111113M. Sobisek165740
WMay 24 · 02:30P. Pycha361114113M. Sobisek2681260
WMay 10 · 24:30P. Pycha331111113M. Sobisek229760
LMar 29 · 03:58P. Pycha2410860M. Sobisek341211113
LMar 29 · 03:00P. Pycha376712121M. Sobisek46111110143
P. Pycha10
WSep 12 · 22:00D. Tuma2.105770P. Pycha1.671111113WSep 12 · 02:00V. Cermak2.101071181P. Pycha1.6712115113LSep 12 · 24:30P. Pycha1.57115561R. Krejci2.2591111113LSep 11 · 23:00P. Pycha2.509511101M. Sopko1.5011113123LSep 11 · 22:00S. Kadavy1.73101111123P. Pycha2.001297101LSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350LSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113LSep 4 · 23:00P. Pycha2.0057150S. Kadavy1.731111173WSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113
M. Sobisek10
WSep 11 · 02:59M. Sobisek1.361110511133M. Vedmoch3.00512117112WSep 11 · 02:30M. Sobisek1.401311113M. Vedmoch2.7511450WSep 11 · 01:30M. Volf2.63134120M. Sobisek1.441511143LSep 11 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.501161081M. Vizek2.5021112113LSep 10 · 23:00V. Cermak2.635111012113M. Sobisek1.44115121052WSep 10 · 21:30M. Sobisek1.80111310113K. Kapras1.907111251WSep 10 · 20:30K. Kapras1.80921231M. Sobisek1.91111110113WSep 10 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.0011115113J. Stolfa1.73991141WSep 10 · 18:30M. Volf2.25411261M. Sobisek1.5711811113LSep 9 · 03:30M. Sobisek1.65118641M. Sopko2.1091111113
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