TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110385
Played Sep 12Finished
Vladimir Cermak
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012711115811––
Patrik Pycha
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:42 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timePatrik Pycha to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Cermak above · Patrik Pycha below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Patrik Pycha at 56.2%
75 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Cermak 31–51 Patrik Pycha Vladimir Cermak has won 31 of their 82 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:42What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pycha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-51 in 82
Pycha
Correct
gap of 20 in 82, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cermak 1486 vs Pycha 1527
Pycha
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cermak 20% vs Pycha 0%
Cermak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cermak 30% vs Pycha 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cermak -2 · Pycha -5
Pycha
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pycha) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pycha form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCermak 2.10 / Pycha 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pycha)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13110385
Cermak2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 89 of 207
Down 0–1, comes back24% 29 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 68
Pycha1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 72 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it94% 44 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it78% 55 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCermak4wins
AwayPycha6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPycha leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCermak33.3%1 of 3
AwayPycha57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cermak3Pycha7n = 10Pycha took 7 of 10
S2Cermak4Pycha6n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S3Cermak5Pycha5n = 10split evenly
S4Cermak4Pycha5n = 9Pycha took 5 of 9
S5Cermak3Pycha2n = 5Cermak took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCermakPychaC − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.242.4−3.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCermakPychaBasisWin rate · lifetime543 / 1068 vs 488 / 93550.8%52.2%543 / 1068 vs 488 / 935Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PychaCermak 2.10/Pycha 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pycha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pycha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 14 · 24:30V. Cermak—751116133P. Pycha—1111514112
LJul 10 · 23:00V. Cermak—911361P. Pycha—11311113
LJun 13 · 23:00V. Cermak—41150P. Pycha—1113113
WJun 2 · 02:00V. Cermak—741111113P. Pycha—11116892
WMar 7 · 23:30V. Cermak—101113143P. Pycha—12411121
LMar 6 · 03:58V. Cermak—1171061P. Pycha—71112113
LMar 5 · 23:30V. Cermak—111111662P. Pycha—135611113
WFeb 18 · 03:58V. Cermak—135811113P. Pycha—111111872
LFeb 18 · 01:30V. Cermak—871141P. Pycha—11117113
LFeb 16 · 01:30V. Cermak—11115782P. Pycha—811111113
V. Cermak10
LSep 12 · 02:58R. Krejci2.00119611113V. Cermak1.7371111592LSep 12 · 01:00V. Cermak2.00891111112S. Kadavy1.73111147133LSep 12 · 24:00M. Sopko1.731111113V. Cermak2.001860WSep 11 · 22:30R. Krejci2.008490V. Cermak1.731111113LSep 11 · 03:30M. Vizek1.5081111123V. Cermak2.501158101LSep 11 · 02:00M. Vizek1.50146118123V. Cermak2.501211611102LSep 11 · 24:30V. Cermak2.001081112112M. Volf1.731211910133WSep 10 · 23:00V. Cermak2.635111012113M. Sobisek1.44115121052WSep 10 · 22:00M. Vedmoch2.7551141352V. Cermak1.401161111113LSep 10 · 03:28J. Hradecky1.441112113V. Cermak2.6371060
P. Pycha10
LSep 12 · 24:30P. Pycha1.57115561R. Krejci2.2591111113LSep 11 · 23:00P. Pycha2.509511101M. Sopko1.5011113123LSep 11 · 22:00S. Kadavy1.73101111123P. Pycha2.001297101LSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350LSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113LSep 4 · 23:00P. Pycha2.0057150S. Kadavy1.731111173WSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113LAug 29 · 02:58T. Janata1.9111118113P. Pycha1.80771171WAug 29 · 02:00P. Budinsky2.20771121P. Pycha1.6111118113
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