TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13112749
Played Sep 11Finished
Martin Vizek
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111151181210––
Vladimir Cermak
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMartin Vizek above · Vladimir Cermak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 76 set 4, 12-10
76 points played in total.
H2H Martin Vizek 30–12 Vladimir Cermak Vladimir Cermak has won 12 of their 42 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Vizek beat Cermak 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Vizek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vizek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVizek 1.50 / Cermak 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Vizek)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13112749
Vizek1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite60% won 44 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it83% 30 of 36
Cermak2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 88 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back24% 28 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVizek6wins
AwayCermak4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderVizek leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVizek71.4%5 of 7
AwayCermak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vizek7Cermak3n = 10Vizek took 7 of 10
S2Vizek5Cermak5n = 10split evenly
S3Vizek6Cermak4n = 10Vizek took 6 of 10
S4Vizek6Cermak2n = 8Vizek took 6 of 8
S5Vizek2Cermak4n = 6Cermak took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVizekCermakV − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.337.2+3.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVizekCermakBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 417 vs 546 / 107251.6%50.9%215 / 417 vs 546 / 1072Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VizekVizek 1.50/Cermak 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Vizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 02:00M. Vizek—146118123V. Cermak—1211611102
LAug 25 · 16:00M. Vizek—69111182V. Cermak—111184113
WJun 14 · 01:30M. Vizek—91111113V. Cermak—115561
LMay 11 · 13:28M. Vizek—41131162V. Cermak—119118113
WMay 11 · 12:30M. Vizek—129911113V. Cermak—101111882
WMay 11 · 08:00M. Vizek—11116113V. Cermak—441171
WMar 14 · 02:30M. Vizek—1111113V. Cermak—8240
LJan 31 · 04:00M. Vizek—116111032V. Cermak—711712113
WJan 31 · 01:30M. Vizek—1111113V. Cermak—1980
LJan 23 · 03:30M. Vizek—11331142V. Cermak—411119113
M. Vizek10
WSep 11 · 02:00M. Vizek1.50146118123V. Cermak2.501211611102WSep 11 · 01:00M. Vizek1.3671112113M. Vedmoch3.001191071WSep 11 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.501161081M. Vizek2.5021112113WSep 10 · 22:30M. Volf1.91111110862M. Vizek1.80841211113LSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192WSep 6 · 20:00M. Vizek1.8312101411123M. Volf1.831412126102LSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721WSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek1.5061111113R. Krejci2.50118861LAug 30 · 21:28M. Vizek1.80341171M. Nohejl1.9111118113WAug 30 · 20:00M. Vizek1.73511611113M. Nohejl2.0011811772
V. Cermak10
LSep 11 · 02:00M. Vizek1.50146118123V. Cermak2.501211611102LSep 11 · 24:30V. Cermak2.001081112112M. Volf1.731211910133WSep 10 · 23:00V. Cermak2.635111012113M. Sobisek1.44115121052WSep 10 · 22:00M. Vedmoch2.7551141352V. Cermak1.401161111113LSep 10 · 03:28J. Hradecky1.441112113V. Cermak2.6371060LSep 10 · 01:30V. Cermak2.6341451162J. Hradecky1.441112117113LSep 10 · 24:30D. Kouble1.7313811113V. Cermak2.001111781WSep 9 · 23:30M. Vedmoch3.009111281V. Cermak1.36111310113WSep 9 · 22:30V. Cermak3.5012411113A. Hlawatschke1.281011561LSep 9 · 01:30V. Cermak1.80611581M. Sopko1.9111511113
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