TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104959
Played Sep 9Finished
Michal Vedmoch
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91111131210811––
Vladimir Cermak
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:47 and never touched — 59.2% is still 59.2%
Graded at full timeMichal Vedmoch to win
59.2%
59.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Vedmoch above · Vladimir Cermak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 85 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Michal Vedmoch at 59.2%
85 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vedmoch 5–8 Vladimir Cermak Michal Vedmoch has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:47What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Cermak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-8 in 13
Cermak
Correct
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vedmoch 1651 vs Cermak 1491
Vedmoch
Wrong
both rated, 160 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vedmoch 60% vs Cermak 20%
Vedmoch
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vedmoch 70% vs Cermak 30%
Vedmoch
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vedmoch +2 · Cermak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Cermak) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cermak form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVedmoch 3.00 / Cermak 1.36
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Cermak)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13104959
Vedmoch3.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog45% won 123 of 275
Down 0–1, comes back20% 28 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back10% 8 of 82
Cermak1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 150 of 256
Up 2–0, closes it91% 76 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it78% 120 of 153
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVedmoch4wins
AwayCermak6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderCermak leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVedmoch42.9%3 of 7
AwayCermak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vedmoch7Cermak3n = 10Vedmoch took 7 of 10
S2Vedmoch3Cermak7n = 10Cermak took 7 of 10
S3Vedmoch5Cermak5n = 10split evenly
S4Vedmoch4Cermak4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVedmochCermakV − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.637.4−1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVedmochCermakBasisWin rate · lifetime715 / 1325 vs 543 / 106454%51%715 / 1325 vs 543 / 1064Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CermakVedmoch 3.00/Cermak 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.4%
Cermak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cermak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 28 · 06:30M. Vedmoch—10840V. Cermak—1211113
LMay 20 · 06:00M. Vedmoch—11331182V. Cermak—911115113
LMay 18 · 12:00M. Vedmoch—5311111V. Cermak—11117133
WMay 11 · 06:30M. Vedmoch—111011113V. Cermak—912941
WApr 26 · 23:00M. Vedmoch—11114113V. Cermak—891181
LApr 21 · 20:30M. Vedmoch—119181V. Cermak—81111113
WJan 27 · 13:30M. Vedmoch—71511123V. Cermak—11136101
WJan 22 · 23:00M. Vedmoch—1111113V. Cermak—6270
LJan 15 · 01:00M. Vedmoch—121011682V. Cermak—1012411113
LJan 12 · 14:30M. Vedmoch—119771V. Cermak—41111113
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 9 · 22:00M. Vedmoch2.201211113D. Kouble1.6110560WSep 9 · 16:59M. Vedmoch1.73111310113M. Sedlak2.008111281LSep 9 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.5711105121J. Stolfa2.2581211143WSep 9 · 15:30M. Sedlak1.80118541M. Vedmoch1.9181111113LSep 9 · 14:00M. Vedmoch3.0011711632J. Hradecky1.36811711113WSep 9 · 03:30R. Krejci1.917550M. Vedmoch1.801111113LSep 9 · 02:30R. Krejci1.831111113M. Vedmoch1.837550WSep 9 · 01:00R. Pavelka1.731011951M. Vedmoch2.0012311113WSep 8 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.44111112113J. Trefny2.63761481WSep 8 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.53141110113V. Postelt2.381281291
V. Cermak10
WSep 9 · 22:30V. Cermak3.5012411113A. Hlawatschke1.281011561LSep 9 · 01:30V. Cermak1.80611581M. Sopko1.9111511113LSep 9 · 24:30M. Sobisek1.501111113V. Cermak2.507420LSep 8 · 23:30D. Tuma2.10115911113V. Cermak1.6781111952LSep 8 · 22:30V. Cermak2.631011111262A. Hlawatschke1.441213810113LSep 8 · 17:29M. Sobisek1.501111113V. Cermak2.507650WSep 8 · 16:00V. Cermak1.4011911113M. Vedmoch2.75911721LSep 8 · 15:30M. Sobisek1.611111123V. Cermak2.2075100WSep 8 · 14:00V. Cermak1.61511611113J. Stolfa2.2011311562LSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101
Upcoming Matches
M. Vedmoch
Sep 10 · 01:00M. Vedmoch2.00A. Hlawatschke1.73—Sep 10 · 02:30M. Vedmoch2.75J. Hradecky1.40—Sep 10 · 14:00M. Vedmoch1.61M. Sedlak2.20—Sep 10 · 15:30M. Vedmoch1.73T. Dousa2.00—Sep 10 · 16:00M. Vedmoch2.20T. Janata1.61—Sep 10 · 22:00M. Vedmoch3.00V. Cermak1.36—Sep 10 · 23:30M. Vedmoch2.63M. Volf1.44—Sep 11 · 01:00M. Vedmoch3.00M. Vizek1.36—Sep 11 · 02:30M. Vedmoch2.50M. Sobisek1.50—
V. Cermak
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.