TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103789
Played Sep 9Finished
Vladimir Cermak
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210411115116––
Ales Hlawatschke
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:47 and never touched — 80.3% is still 80.3%
Graded at full timeAles Hlawatschke to win
80.3%
80.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladimir Cermak above · Ales Hlawatschke below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 70 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Ales Hlawatschke at 80.3%
70 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Cermak 1–16 Ales Hlawatschke Vladimir Cermak has won 1 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:47What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Hlawatschke
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-16 in 17
Hlawatschke
Wrong
gap of 15 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cermak 1475 vs Hlawatschke 1593
Hlawatschke
Wrong
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cermak 0% vs Hlawatschke 40%
Hlawatschke
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cermak 20% vs Hlawatschke 70%
Hlawatschke
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cermak -5 · Hlawatschke +1
Cermak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Hlawatschke) · live re-read · sealed at 80% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hlawatschke form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCermak 3.50 / Hlawatschke 1.28
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Hlawatschke)+6.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103789
Cermak3.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 87 of 201
Down 0–1, comes back24% 28 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 68
Hlawatschke1.28
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 14 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it54% 7 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCermak1wins
AwayHlawatschke9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHlawatschke leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCermakn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHlawatschke88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cermak1Hlawatschke9n = 10Hlawatschke took 9 of 10
S2Cermak3Hlawatschke7n = 10Hlawatschke took 7 of 10
S3Cermak4Hlawatschke6n = 10Hlawatschke took 6 of 10
S4Cermak2Hlawatschke4n = 6Hlawatschke took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricCermakHlawatschkeC − HBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match30.039.4−9.4per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCermakHlawatschkeBasisWin rate · lifetime542 / 1065 vs 110 / 21750.9%50.7%542 / 1065 vs 110 / 217Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HlawatschkeCermak 3.50/Hlawatschke 1.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.4%
Hlawatschke · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cermak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 22:30V. Cermak—1011111262A. Hlawatschke—1213810113
LMar 18 · 03:00V. Cermak—841171A. Hlawatschke—11117113
LFeb 5 · 24:30V. Cermak—6280A. Hlawatschke—1111113
LJan 7 · 02:00V. Cermak—711361A. Hlawatschke—11911113
LDec 10 · 10:30V. Cermak—3740A. Hlawatschke—1111113
LDec 10 · 09:00V. Cermak—10580A. Hlawatschke—1211113
LOct 29 · 24:00V. Cermak—10128111A. Hlawatschke—121011133
WOct 17 · 01:30V. Cermak—91111113A. Hlawatschke—119831
LOct 15 · 01:30V. Cermak—12811722A. Hlawatschke—1011511113
LOct 8 · 02:30V. Cermak—9170A. Hlawatschke—1111113
V. Cermak10
LSep 9 · 01:30V. Cermak1.80611581M. Sopko1.9111511113LSep 9 · 24:30M. Sobisek1.501111113V. Cermak2.507420LSep 8 · 23:30D. Tuma2.10115911113V. Cermak1.6781111952LSep 8 · 22:30V. Cermak2.631011111262A. Hlawatschke1.441213810113LSep 8 · 17:29M. Sobisek1.501111113V. Cermak2.507650WSep 8 · 16:00V. Cermak1.4011911113M. Vedmoch2.75911721LSep 8 · 15:30M. Sobisek1.611111123V. Cermak2.2075100WSep 8 · 14:00V. Cermak1.61511611113J. Stolfa2.2011311562LSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101LSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113
A. Hlawatschke10
WSep 9 · 03:00D. Tuma2.105960A. Hlawatschke1.671111113LSep 9 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke2.38314951M. Sobisek1.53111211113LSep 9 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.6795111552D. Tuma2.101111713113LSep 9 · 24:00M. Sopko1.331111113A. Hlawatschke3.256760WSep 8 · 22:30V. Cermak2.631011111262A. Hlawatschke1.441213810113WAug 25 · 03:28A. Hlawatschke1.3671111113R. Krejci3.00118981WAug 25 · 02:00R. Krejci3.25139111332A. Hlawatschke1.331111915113WAug 25 · 24:30A. Hlawatschke1.91131110113M. Vesely1.801181281WAug 24 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke2.3871111113F. Just1.53115791WAug 24 · 22:00D. Tuma2.001341061A. Hlawatschke1.73111112113
Upcoming Matches
V. Cermak
A. Hlawatschke
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.