TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13097973
Played Sep 9Finished
Michal Vedmoch
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210115116––––
Daniel Kouble
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Kouble to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Vedmoch above · Daniel Kouble below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 55 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Daniel Kouble at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vedmoch 0–2 Daniel Kouble Michal Vedmoch has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:28What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kouble
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vedmoch 1641 vs Kouble 1527
Vedmoch
Correct
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vedmoch 60% vs Kouble 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vedmoch 70% vs Kouble 30%
Vedmoch
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vedmoch +1 · Kouble +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kouble)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vedmoch form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVedmoch 2.20 / Kouble 1.61
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vedmoch)+3.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13097973
Vedmoch2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog45% won 123 of 275
Down 0–1, comes back20% 28 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back10% 8 of 82
Kouble1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite50% won 15 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it53% 9 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVedmoch0wins
AwayKouble2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderKouble leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricVedmochKoubleV − KBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match37.045.5−8.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVedmochKoubleBasisWin rate · lifetime714 / 1324 vs 105 / 22153.9%47.5%714 / 1324 vs 105 / 221Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoubleVedmoch 2.20/Kouble 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kouble · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vedmoch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LFeb 18 · 03:00M. Vedmoch—119101572D. Kouble—5111213113
LFeb 8 · 03:00M. Vedmoch—41530D. Kouble—1117113
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 9 · 16:59M. Vedmoch1.73111310113M. Sedlak2.008111281LSep 9 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.5711105121J. Stolfa2.2581211143WSep 9 · 15:30M. Sedlak1.80118541M. Vedmoch1.9181111113LSep 9 · 14:00M. Vedmoch3.0011711632J. Hradecky1.36811711113WSep 9 · 03:30R. Krejci1.917550M. Vedmoch1.801111113LSep 9 · 02:30R. Krejci1.831111113M. Vedmoch1.837550WSep 9 · 01:00R. Pavelka1.731011951M. Vedmoch2.0012311113WSep 8 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.44111112113J. Trefny2.63761481WSep 8 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.53141110113V. Postelt2.381281291WSep 8 · 17:00J. Stolfa2.25111111342M. Vedmoch1.57132811113
D. Kouble10
WSep 8 · 03:30J. Prokupek2.25145661D. Kouble1.57121111113LSep 8 · 01:30D. Kouble1.83112121112J. Dedek1.83811147113LSep 8 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.25118119143D. Kouble1.57911711122WSep 7 · 23:30V. Postelt2.3894100D. Kouble1.531111123WSep 7 · 22:30D. Kouble1.80811112113P. Fojt1.9111861162LSep 5 · 02:30S. Kadavy1.801111113D. Kouble1.919180LSep 5 · 01:00R. Krejci1.6111114113D. Kouble2.20881151LSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113LSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113LSep 1 · 03:00T. Janata1.801211113D. Kouble1.9110540
Upcoming Matches
M. Vedmoch
Sep 9 · 23:30M. Vedmoch3.00V. Cermak1.36—Sep 10 · 01:00M. Vedmoch2.00A. Hlawatschke1.73—Sep 10 · 02:30M. Vedmoch2.75J. Hradecky1.40—Sep 10 · 14:00M. Vedmoch1.61M. Sedlak2.20—Sep 10 · 15:30M. Vedmoch1.73T. Dousa2.00—Sep 10 · 16:00M. Vedmoch2.20T. Janata1.61—Sep 10 · 22:00M. Vedmoch3.00V. Cermak1.36—Sep 10 · 23:30M. Vedmoch2.63M. Volf1.44—Sep 11 · 01:00M. Vedmoch3.00M. Vizek1.36—Sep 11 · 02:30M. Vedmoch2.50M. Sobisek1.50—
D. Kouble
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