TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103462
Played Sep 10Finished
Matej Volf
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181141012811611
Martin Vizek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:27 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMartin Vizek to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatej Volf above · Martin Vizek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 92 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Martin Vizek at 54.1%
92 points played in total.
H2H Matej Volf 5–8 Martin Vizek Matej Volf has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:27What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vizek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-8 in 13
Vizek
Correct
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volf 1554 vs Vizek 1600
Vizek
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volf 40% vs Vizek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volf 40% vs Vizek 60%
Vizek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volf +1 · Vizek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vizek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vizek form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolf 1.91 / Vizek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vizek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103462
Volf1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 34 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back30% 13 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Vizek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 44 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it83% 30 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolf5wins
AwayVizek5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolf62.5%5 of 8
AwayVizekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volf8Vizek2n = 10Volf took 8 of 10
S2Volf4Vizek6n = 10Vizek took 6 of 10
S3Volf4Vizek6n = 10Vizek took 6 of 10
S4Volf4Vizek5n = 9Vizek took 5 of 9
S5Volf3Vizek4n = 7Vizek took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolfVizekVolf − VizekBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match44.544.3+0.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolfVizekBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 402 vs 212 / 41451.5%51.2%207 / 402 vs 212 / 414Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VizekVolf 1.91/Vizek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 22:30M. Volf—111110862M. Vizek—841211113
WSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf—117118113M. Vizek—51191192
LSep 6 · 20:00M. Volf—1412126102M. Vizek—12101411123
LFeb 28 · 02:30M. Volf—99111182M. Vizek—111188113
WJan 11 · 01:00M. Volf—11116113M. Vizek—571191
LNov 1 · 18:00M. Volf—111012872M. Vizek—8121011113
WNov 1 · 15:00M. Volf—1311773M. Vizek—1141121
WOct 26 · 20:00M. Volf—115126113M. Vizek—611101152
LApr 5 · 23:00M. Volf—9560M. Vizek—1111113
WApr 4 · 17:30M. Volf—1110914153M. Vizek—8121112132
M. Volf10
LSep 10 · 23:30M. Vedmoch2.2581212113M. Volf1.5711101081WSep 10 · 20:58M. Volf2.3811911113J. Stolfa1.53511581LSep 10 · 20:00J. Stolfa1.7391111113M. Volf2.00117751WSep 10 · 19:00K. Kapras1.73111111272M. Volf2.00371311113LSep 10 · 18:30M. Volf2.25411261M. Sobisek1.5711811113LSep 7 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5381111113M. Volf2.38114681WSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 6 · 23:30M. Volf1.618860V. Cermak2.201111113LSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192
M. Vizek10
LSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192WSep 6 · 20:00M. Vizek1.8312101411123M. Volf1.831412126102LSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721WSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek1.5061111113R. Krejci2.50118861LAug 30 · 21:28M. Vizek1.80341171M. Nohejl1.9111118113WAug 30 · 20:00M. Vizek1.73511611113M. Nohejl2.0011811772WAug 30 · 19:30T. Janata2.20361191M. Vizek1.6111117113WAug 30 · 18:00M. Vizek2.2581613113T. Vinter1.5711141161WAug 26 · 16:58M. Sedlak1.806760M. Vizek1.911111113LAug 26 · 16:00J. Pozarsky1.731111113M. Vizek2.005980
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