TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103185
Played Sep 10Finished
Matej Volf
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411118211611––
Martin Sobisek
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:17 and never touched — 61.5% is still 61.5%
Graded at full timeMartin Sobisek to win
61.5%
61.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatej Volf above · Martin Sobisek below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 64 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Martin Sobisek at 61.5%
64 points played in total.
H2H Matej Volf 8–14 Martin Sobisek Matej Volf has won 8 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:17What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sobisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-14 in 22
Sobisek
Correct
gap of 6 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volf 1545 vs Sobisek 1690
Sobisek
Correct
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volf 40% vs Sobisek 80%
Sobisek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volf 50% vs Sobisek 70%
Sobisek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volf -1 · Sobisek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Sobisek) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobisek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolf 2.25 / Sobisek 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Sobisek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103185
Volf2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 34 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back30% 13 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Sobisek1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 107 of 183
Up 2–0, closes it98% 62 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it79% 81 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolf3wins
AwaySobisek7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSobisek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolf75%3 of 4
AwaySobisek100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volf4Sobisek6n = 10Sobisek took 6 of 10
S2Volf2Sobisek8n = 10Sobisek took 8 of 10
S3Volf3Sobisek7n = 10Sobisek took 7 of 10
S4Volf3Sobisek3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolfSobisekV − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.838.2−5.4per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolfSobisekBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 402 vs 551 / 117351.5%47%207 / 402 vs 551 / 1173Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobisekVolf 2.25/Sobisek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Sobisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sobisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 01:00M. Volf—11711113M. Sobisek—511341
LAug 11 · 01:30M. Volf—6920M. Sobisek—1111113
LJul 21 · 22:30M. Volf—9860M. Sobisek—1111113
WJul 21 · 20:30M. Volf—111188113M. Sobisek—98111192
LJul 19 · 22:30M. Volf—3411101M. Sobisek—11118123
LJun 7 · 23:00M. Volf—714981M. Sobisek—111211113
LMay 9 · 23:30M. Volf—9740M. Sobisek—1111113
WMay 9 · 21:30M. Volf—111011113M. Sobisek—812861
LMay 9 · 18:30M. Volf—85160M. Sobisek—1111183
LApr 5 · 03:30M. Volf—111031162M. Sobisek—812119113
M. Volf10
LSep 7 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5381111113M. Volf2.38114681WSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 6 · 23:30M. Volf1.618860V. Cermak2.201111113LSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192LSep 6 · 20:00M. Vizek1.8312101411123M. Volf1.831412126102WSep 6 · 19:00R. Krejci2.007680M. Volf1.731111113WSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102LAug 11 · 01:30M. Sobisek1.501111113M. Volf2.506920WAug 11 · 24:00M. Volf1.6791311113A. Hlawatschke2.101111541
M. Sobisek10
LSep 9 · 03:30M. Sobisek1.65118641M. Sopko2.1091111113WSep 9 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke2.38314951M. Sobisek1.53111211113WSep 9 · 24:30M. Sobisek1.501111113V. Cermak2.507420WSep 8 · 23:00M. Sobisek1.801111113M. Sopko1.918890WSep 8 · 22:00D. Tuma1.80631581M. Sobisek1.91111113113WSep 8 · 17:29M. Sobisek1.501111113V. Cermak2.507650LSep 8 · 16:30J. Stolfa1.611114133M. Sobisek2.20812110WSep 8 · 15:30M. Sobisek1.611111123V. Cermak2.2075100LSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113WAug 11 · 01:30M. Sobisek1.501111113M. Volf2.506920
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