TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13111531
Played Sep 10Finished
Matej Volf
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115911115118––
Jakub Stolfa
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMatej Volf above · Jakub Stolfa below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 71 set 4, 11-8
71 points played in total.
H2H Matej Volf 1–4 Jakub Stolfa Matej Volf has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Stolfa beat Volf 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Stolfa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stolfa form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolf 2.38 / Stolfa 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Stolfa)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13111531
Volf2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 34 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back30% 13 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Stolfa1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 82 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it81% 54 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVolf1wins
AwayStolfa4wins
2 of 5 to a deciderStolfa leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolfn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayStolfa100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volf2Stolfa3n = 5Stolfa took 3 of 5
S2Volf3Stolfa2n = 5Volf took 3 of 5
S3Volf2Stolfa3n = 5Stolfa took 3 of 5
S4Volf2Stolfa3n = 5Stolfa took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricVolfStolfaV − SBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match39.044.2−5.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolfStolfaBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 401 vs 182 / 34851.6%52.3%207 / 401 vs 182 / 348Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StolfaVolf 2.38/Stolfa 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.4%
Stolfa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Volf won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 10 · 20:00M. Volf—117751J. Stolfa—91111113
WNov 23 · 13:30M. Volf—11131103J. Stolfa—7111181
LAug 31 · 17:30M. Volf—9117111J. Stolfa—11811133
LAug 31 · 14:00M. Volf—66111192J. Stolfa—111197113
LAug 31 · 11:00M. Volf—61114992J. Stolfa—1151211113
M. Volf10
LSep 10 · 20:00J. Stolfa1.7391111113M. Volf2.00117751WSep 10 · 19:00K. Kapras1.73111111272M. Volf2.00371311113LSep 10 · 18:30M. Volf2.25411261M. Sobisek1.5711811113LSep 7 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5381111113M. Volf2.38114681WSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 6 · 23:30M. Volf1.618860V. Cermak2.201111113LSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192LSep 6 · 20:00M. Vizek1.8312101411123M. Volf1.831412126102WSep 6 · 19:00R. Krejci2.007680M. Volf1.731111113
J. Stolfa10
WSep 10 · 20:00J. Stolfa1.7391111113M. Volf2.00117751LSep 10 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.0011115113J. Stolfa1.73991141LSep 10 · 18:00J. Stolfa1.7311450K. Kapras2.001311113WSep 10 · 09:30J. Svoboda1.8011811762J. Stolfa1.91911911113LSep 10 · 08:00J. Stolfa1.831162101J. Svoboda1.8381111123WSep 10 · 07:30M. Vesely2.00118111072J. Stolfa1.73711912113WSep 10 · 06:00J. Stolfa1.53117117113T. Vinter2.3861191182WSep 9 · 21:30J. Stolfa1.871311113M. Bittner1.8311690WSep 9 · 20:30D. Tuma1.83118581J. Stolfa1.8391111113WSep 9 · 19:30J. Stolfa3.0011512113M. Pikous1.367111071
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