TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104013
Played Sep 10Finished
Jakub Stolfa
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116711119711118
Tomas Vinter
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:37 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Stolfa to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Tomas Vinter below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 92 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Jakub Stolfa at 60.9%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Stolfa 7–4 Tomas Vinter Tomas Vinter has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:37What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Stolfa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Stolfa
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stolfa 1632 vs Vinter 1415
Stolfa
Correct
both rated, 217 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolfa 100% vs Vinter 0%
Stolfa
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolfa 80% vs Vinter 30%
Stolfa
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolfa +5 · Vinter -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Stolfa) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vinter form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolfa 1.53 / Vinter 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Stolfa)+3.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104013
Stolfa1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 82 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it81% 54 of 67
Vinter2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 46 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back18% 13 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStolfa7wins
AwayVinter3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStolfa leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStolfa80%4 of 5
AwayVinter40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stolfa5Vinter5n = 10split evenly
S2Stolfa5Vinter5n = 10split evenly
S3Stolfa5Vinter5n = 10split evenly
S4Stolfa5Vinter4n = 9Stolfa took 5 of 9
S5Stolfa4Vinter0n = 4Stolfa took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStolfaVinterS − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.538.1+2.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolfaVinterBasisWin rate · lifetime179 / 342 vs 260 / 52052.3%50%179 / 342 vs 260 / 520Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StolfaStolfa 1.53/Vinter 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.4%
Stolfa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stolfa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 06:00J. Stolfa—117117113T. Vinter—61191182
WAug 21 · 12:59J. Stolfa—11911113T. Vinter—611881
WAug 21 · 12:30J. Stolfa—1111113T. Vinter—8570
WJul 21 · 10:30J. Stolfa—1011611113T. Vinter—12611582
WJul 7 · 09:30J. Stolfa—651111163T. Vinter—111168142
LJul 7 · 08:00J. Stolfa—119751T. Vinter—61111113
LJul 4 · 15:06J. Stolfa—711781T. Vinter—11811113
WJul 4 · 10:00J. Stolfa—11911113T. Vinter—711461
WJul 2 · 10:00J. Stolfa—611911113T. Vinter—11811792
LJul 1 · 13:00J. Stolfa—5114101T. Vinter—11311123
J. Stolfa10
WSep 9 · 21:30J. Stolfa1.871311113M. Bittner1.8311690WSep 9 · 20:30D. Tuma1.83118581J. Stolfa1.8391111113WSep 9 · 19:30J. Stolfa3.0011512113M. Pikous1.367111071WSep 9 · 18:30M. Bittner1.7391011101J. Stolfa2.0011123123WSep 9 · 17:29J. Hradecky1.80121111792J. Stolfa1.91147611113WSep 9 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.5711105121J. Stolfa2.2581211143LSep 9 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.73411919113J. Stolfa2.00119111752WSep 9 · 14:30J. Stolfa1.674121111113M. Sedlak2.1011148962LSep 8 · 17:00J. Stolfa2.25111111342M. Vedmoch1.57132811113WSep 8 · 16:30J. Stolfa1.611114133M. Sobisek2.20812110
T. Vinter10
LSep 10 · 07:00T. Vinter2.0344111172J. Svoboda1.62111148113LSep 3 · 21:00M. Sedlak1.611211113T. Vinter2.2010990LSep 3 · 20:30T. Vinter1.738280V. Postelt2.001111113LSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113LSep 3 · 18:00M. Sedlak1.80121111113T. Vinter1.911013251LSep 1 · 21:12J. Dedek2.1511118113T. Vinter1.63221121LSep 1 · 20:00T. Vinter1.5010340M. Vedmoch2.501211113WSep 1 · 19:30J. Dedek2.20119511112T. Vinter1.61911118133LSep 1 · 18:00T. Vinter1.36861181M. Kolar3.0011119113WAug 30 · 20:59T. Vinter2.251111123T. Janata1.5795100
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