TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104504
Played Sep 10Finished
Vladimir Cermak
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
4111412511117611
Jakub Hradecky
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:07 and never touched — 78.0% is still 78.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Hradecky to win
78.0%
78.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Cermak above · Jakub Hradecky below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 92 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jakub Hradecky at 78.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Cermak 7–24 Jakub Hradecky Vladimir Cermak has won 7 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hradecky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-24 in 31
Hradecky
Correct
gap of 17 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cermak 1496 vs Hradecky 1686
Hradecky
Correct
both rated, 190 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cermak 40% vs Hradecky 80%
Hradecky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cermak 30% vs Hradecky 90%
Hradecky
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cermak -1 · Hradecky +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Hradecky) · live re-read · sealed at 78% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hradecky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCermak 2.63 / Hradecky 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Hradecky)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104504
Cermak2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 87 of 201
Down 0–1, comes back24% 28 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 68
Hradecky1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 87 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it98% 44 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it78% 60 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCermak3wins
AwayHradecky7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHradecky leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCermak50%2 of 4
AwayHradecky83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cermak4Hradecky6n = 10Hradecky took 6 of 10
S2Cermak4Hradecky6n = 10Hradecky took 6 of 10
S3Cermak4Hradecky6n = 10Hradecky took 6 of 10
S4Cermak4Hradecky5n = 9Hradecky took 5 of 9
S5Cermak2Hradecky3n = 5Hradecky took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCermakHradeckyC − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.143.8−5.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCermakHradeckyBasisWin rate · lifetime544 / 1066 vs 256 / 48251%53.1%544 / 1066 vs 256 / 482Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HradeckyCermak 2.63/Hradecky 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Hradecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hradecky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 18:30V. Cermak—1277101J. Hradecky—101111123
LAug 20 · 07:00V. Cermak—103111172J. Hradecky—121168113
WAug 13 · 02:00V. Cermak—111179113J. Hradecky—85111192
WJun 30 · 24:30V. Cermak—111110123J. Hradecky—7812101
WJun 28 · 13:30V. Cermak—9111111113J. Hradecky—11971382
LJun 28 · 11:30V. Cermak—23111172J. Hradecky—111199113
LJun 28 · 07:00V. Cermak—412381J. Hradecky—111011113
LJun 19 · 08:30V. Cermak—44111152J. Hradecky—111137113
LJun 17 · 01:00V. Cermak—11119121J. Hradecky—91311143
LJun 2 · 03:30V. Cermak—7290J. Hradecky—1111113
V. Cermak10
LSep 10 · 24:30D. Kouble1.7313811113V. Cermak2.001111781WSep 9 · 23:30M. Vedmoch3.009111281V. Cermak1.36111310113WSep 9 · 22:30V. Cermak3.5012411113A. Hlawatschke1.281011561LSep 9 · 01:30V. Cermak1.80611581M. Sopko1.9111511113LSep 9 · 24:30M. Sobisek1.501111113V. Cermak2.507420LSep 8 · 23:30D. Tuma2.10115911113V. Cermak1.6781111952LSep 8 · 22:30V. Cermak2.631011111262A. Hlawatschke1.441213810113LSep 8 · 17:29M. Sobisek1.501111113V. Cermak2.507650WSep 8 · 16:00V. Cermak1.4011911113M. Vedmoch2.75911721LSep 8 · 15:30M. Sobisek1.611111123V. Cermak2.2075100
J. Hradecky10
WSep 10 · 24:00J. Hradecky1.67116811113A. Hlawatschke2.1091111962WSep 9 · 23:00D. Kouble2.63861241J. Hradecky1.44111110113LSep 9 · 17:29J. Hradecky1.80121111792J. Stolfa1.91147611113WSep 9 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.671211113M. Sedlak2.1010640WSep 9 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.73411919113J. Stolfa2.00119111752WSep 9 · 14:00M. Vedmoch3.0011711632J. Hradecky1.36811711113WSep 7 · 21:30J. Hradecky1.4011137123M. Vedmoch2.7571111101WSep 7 · 20:30L. Krticka2.503430J. Hradecky1.501111113WSep 7 · 19:30J. Hradecky1.3331111113T. Janata3.25117851WSep 7 · 18:30M. Vedmoch2.2011990J. Hradecky1.611311113
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