TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099111
Played Sep 9Finished
Daniel Kouble
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8116111210411––
Jakub Hradecky
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:34 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Hradecky to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Kouble above · Jakub Hradecky below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 73 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Jakub Hradecky at 66.9%
73 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Kouble 2–5 Jakub Hradecky Daniel Kouble has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:34What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hradecky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Hradecky
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kouble 1517 vs Hradecky 1664
Hradecky
Correct
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kouble 40% vs Hradecky 80%
Hradecky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kouble 30% vs Hradecky 80%
Hradecky
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kouble -1 · Hradecky -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Hradecky) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hradecky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKouble 2.63 / Hradecky 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Hradecky)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099111
Kouble2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 22 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back25% 8 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Hradecky1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 87 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it98% 44 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it78% 60 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKouble2wins
AwayHradecky5wins
3 of 7 to a deciderHradecky leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKouble66.7%2 of 3
AwayHradecky100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kouble3Hradecky4n = 7Hradecky took 4 of 7
S2Kouble3Hradecky4n = 7Hradecky took 4 of 7
S3Kouble1Hradecky6n = 7Hradecky took 6 of 7
S4Kouble3Hradecky2n = 5Kouble took 3 of 5
S5Kouble1Hradecky2n = 3Hradecky took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricKoubleHradeckyK − HBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match37.644.1−6.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoubleHradeckyBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 222 vs 254 / 48047.3%52.9%105 / 222 vs 254 / 480Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HradeckyKouble 2.63/Hradecky 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Hradecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hradecky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LJun 16 · 22:00D. Kouble—9570J. Hradecky—1111113
WApr 15 · 01:00D. Kouble—13113133J. Hradecky—11811111
LFeb 8 · 16:30D. Kouble—119951J. Hradecky—71111113
LJan 28 · 18:00D. Kouble—101181222J. Hradecky—1261110113
LJan 28 · 16:30D. Kouble—41461162J. Hradecky—1112115113
LJan 2 · 09:00D. Kouble—58190J. Hradecky—1111213
WJun 20 · 16:30D. Kouble—129127123J. Hradecky—10111011102
D. Kouble10
LSep 9 · 22:00M. Vedmoch2.201211113D. Kouble1.6110560WSep 8 · 03:30J. Prokupek2.25145661D. Kouble1.57121111113LSep 8 · 01:30D. Kouble1.83112121112J. Dedek1.83811147113LSep 8 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.25118119143D. Kouble1.57911711122WSep 7 · 23:30V. Postelt2.3894100D. Kouble1.531111123WSep 7 · 22:30D. Kouble1.80811112113P. Fojt1.9111861162LSep 5 · 02:30S. Kadavy1.801111113D. Kouble1.919180LSep 5 · 01:00R. Krejci1.6111114113D. Kouble2.20881151LSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113LSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113
J. Hradecky10
LSep 9 · 17:29J. Hradecky1.80121111792J. Stolfa1.91147611113WSep 9 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.671211113M. Sedlak2.1010640WSep 9 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.73411919113J. Stolfa2.00119111752WSep 9 · 14:00M. Vedmoch3.0011711632J. Hradecky1.36811711113WSep 7 · 21:30J. Hradecky1.4011137123M. Vedmoch2.7571111101WSep 7 · 20:30L. Krticka2.503430J. Hradecky1.501111113WSep 7 · 19:30J. Hradecky1.3331111113T. Janata3.25117851WSep 7 · 18:30M. Vedmoch2.2011990J. Hradecky1.611311113WSep 3 · 17:00J. Stolfa1.733760J. Hradecky2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153
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