TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099101
Played Sep 10Finished
Jakub Hradecky
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119611811119116
Ales Hlawatschke
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAles Hlawatschke to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Hradecky above · Ales Hlawatschke below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 93 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Ales Hlawatschke at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Hradecky 8–11 Ales Hlawatschke Jakub Hradecky has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:34What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hradecky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-11 in 19
Hlawatschke
Wrong
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hradecky 1678 vs Hlawatschke 1577
Hradecky
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hradecky 80% vs Hlawatschke 20%
Hradecky
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hradecky 90% vs Hlawatschke 60%
Hradecky
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hradecky +1 · Hlawatschke -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hradecky) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hlawatschke form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHradecky 1.67 / Hlawatschke 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Hradecky)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099101
Hradecky1.67
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 87 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it98% 44 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it78% 60 of 77
Hlawatschke2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 13 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back25% 4 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHradecky3wins
AwayHlawatschke7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHlawatschke leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHradecky40%2 of 5
AwayHlawatschke80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hradecky5Hlawatschke5n = 10split evenly
S2Hradecky6Hlawatschke4n = 10Hradecky took 6 of 10
S3Hradecky3Hlawatschke7n = 10Hlawatschke took 7 of 10
S4Hradecky3Hlawatschke6n = 9Hlawatschke took 6 of 9
S5Hradecky1Hlawatschke3n = 4Hlawatschke took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHradeckyHlawatschkeHradecky − HlawatschkeBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.640.9−2.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHradeckyHlawatschkeBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 481 vs 106 / 21453%49.5%255 / 481 vs 106 / 214Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HradeckyHradecky 1.67/Hlawatschke 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Hradecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hradecky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMar 18 · 03:58J. Hradecky—71171192A. Hlawatschke—115118113
LMar 17 · 23:30J. Hradecky—117116102A. Hlawatschke—811311123
LJan 8 · 04:00J. Hradecky—59100A. Hlawatschke—1111123
WJan 8 · 03:00J. Hradecky—811118113A. Hlawatschke—11771182
WDec 16 · 24:30J. Hradecky—11119113A. Hlawatschke—481171
LNov 27 · 24:30J. Hradecky—814361A. Hlawatschke—111211113
LNov 25 · 07:30J. Hradecky—816631A. Hlawatschke—111411113
LNov 14 · 24:00J. Hradecky—11114792A. Hlawatschke—241111113
WNov 12 · 08:00J. Hradecky—11711113A. Hlawatschke—911971
LNov 6 · 08:00J. Hradecky—1186101A. Hlawatschke—91111123
J. Hradecky10
WSep 10 · 01:30V. Cermak2.6341451162J. Hradecky1.441112117113WSep 9 · 23:00D. Kouble2.63861241J. Hradecky1.44111110113LSep 9 · 17:29J. Hradecky1.80121111792J. Stolfa1.91147611113WSep 9 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.671211113M. Sedlak2.1010640WSep 9 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.73411919113J. Stolfa2.00119111752WSep 9 · 14:00M. Vedmoch3.0011711632J. Hradecky1.36811711113WSep 7 · 21:30J. Hradecky1.4011137123M. Vedmoch2.7571111101WSep 7 · 20:30L. Krticka2.503430J. Hradecky1.501111113WSep 7 · 19:30J. Hradecky1.3331111113T. Janata3.25117851WSep 7 · 18:30M. Vedmoch2.2011990J. Hradecky1.611311113
A. Hlawatschke10
WSep 10 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.734111310113M. Vedmoch2.00119111292LSep 9 · 22:30V. Cermak3.5012411113A. Hlawatschke1.281011561WSep 9 · 03:00D. Tuma2.105960A. Hlawatschke1.671111113LSep 9 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke2.38314951M. Sobisek1.53111211113LSep 9 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.6795111552D. Tuma2.101111713113LSep 9 · 24:00M. Sopko1.331111113A. Hlawatschke3.256760WSep 8 · 22:30V. Cermak2.631011111262A. Hlawatschke1.441213810113WAug 25 · 03:28A. Hlawatschke1.3671111113R. Krejci3.00118981WAug 25 · 02:00R. Krejci3.25139111332A. Hlawatschke1.331111915113WAug 25 · 24:30A. Hlawatschke1.91131110113M. Vesely1.801181281
Upcoming Matches
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