TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099031
Played Sep 10Finished
Ales Hlawatschke
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
41111913111012119
Michal Vedmoch
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAles Hlawatschke to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Hlawatschke above · Michal Vedmoch below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 101 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Ales Hlawatschke at 54.0%
101 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:04What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hlawatschke
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Hlawatschke 1570 vs Vedmoch 1634
Vedmoch
Wrong
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hlawatschke 20% vs Vedmoch 60%
Vedmoch
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hlawatschke 50% vs Vedmoch 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hlawatschke -2 · Vedmoch -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hlawatschke)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hlawatschke form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHlawatschke 1.73 / Vedmoch 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hlawatschke)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099031
Hlawatschke1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 14 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it54% 7 of 13
Vedmoch2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 123 of 275
Down 0–1, comes back20% 28 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back10% 8 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHlawatschkeVedmochBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 215 vs 715 / 132649.3%53.9%106 / 215 vs 715 / 1326Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HlawatschkeHlawatschke 1.73/Vedmoch 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hlawatschke · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hlawatschke won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Hlawatschke10
LSep 10 · 24:00J. Hradecky1.67116811113A. Hlawatschke2.1091111962LSep 9 · 22:30V. Cermak3.5012411113A. Hlawatschke1.281011561WSep 9 · 03:00D. Tuma2.105960A. Hlawatschke1.671111113LSep 9 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke2.38314951M. Sobisek1.53111211113LSep 9 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.6795111552D. Tuma2.101111713113LSep 9 · 24:00M. Sopko1.331111113A. Hlawatschke3.256760WSep 8 · 22:30V. Cermak2.631011111262A. Hlawatschke1.441213810113WAug 25 · 03:28A. Hlawatschke1.3671111113R. Krejci3.00118981WAug 25 · 02:00R. Krejci3.25139111332A. Hlawatschke1.331111915113WAug 25 · 24:30A. Hlawatschke1.91131110113M. Vesely1.801181281
M. Vedmoch10
LSep 9 · 23:30M. Vedmoch3.009111281V. Cermak1.36111310113WSep 9 · 22:00M. Vedmoch2.201211113D. Kouble1.6110560WSep 9 · 16:59M. Vedmoch1.73111310113M. Sedlak2.008111281LSep 9 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.5711105121J. Stolfa2.2581211143WSep 9 · 15:30M. Sedlak1.80118541M. Vedmoch1.9181111113LSep 9 · 14:00M. Vedmoch3.0011711632J. Hradecky1.36811711113WSep 9 · 03:30R. Krejci1.917550M. Vedmoch1.801111113LSep 9 · 02:30R. Krejci1.831111113M. Vedmoch1.837550WSep 9 · 01:00R. Pavelka1.731011951M. Vedmoch2.0012311113WSep 8 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.44111112113J. Trefny2.63761481
Upcoming Matches
A. Hlawatschke
Nothing scheduled
M. Vedmoch
Sep 10 · 02:30M. Vedmoch2.75J. Hradecky1.40—Sep 10 · 14:00M. Vedmoch1.61M. Sedlak2.20—Sep 10 · 15:30M. Vedmoch1.73T. Dousa2.00—Sep 10 · 16:00M. Vedmoch2.20T. Janata1.61—Sep 10 · 22:00M. Vedmoch2.75V. Cermak1.40—Sep 10 · 23:30M. Vedmoch2.63M. Volf1.44—Sep 11 · 01:00M. Vedmoch3.00M. Vizek1.36—Sep 11 · 02:30M. Vedmoch2.75M. Sobisek1.40—
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