TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13105078
Played Sep 11Finished
Martin Vizek
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
14126111168111210
Vladimir Cermak
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:00 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeMartin Vizek to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Vizek above · Vladimir Cermak below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 101 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Martin Vizek at 64.1%
101 points played in total.
H2H Martin Vizek 29–12 Vladimir Cermak Vladimir Cermak has won 12 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:00What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vizek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-12 in 41
Vizek
Correct
gap of 17 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vizek 1647 vs Cermak 1506
Vizek
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vizek 80% vs Cermak 40%
Vizek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vizek 70% vs Cermak 40%
Vizek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vizek +3 · Cermak -1
Vizek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Vizek) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vizek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVizek 1.50 / Cermak 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Vizek)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13105078
Vizek1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite60% won 44 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it83% 30 of 36
Cermak2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 88 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back24% 28 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVizek6wins
AwayCermak4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVizek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVizek71.4%5 of 7
AwayCermak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vizek7Cermak3n = 10Vizek took 7 of 10
S2Vizek5Cermak5n = 10split evenly
S3Vizek6Cermak4n = 10Vizek took 6 of 10
S4Vizek7Cermak1n = 8Vizek took 7 of 8
S5Vizek1Cermak4n = 5Cermak took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVizekCermakV − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.035.8+3.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVizekCermakBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 416 vs 546 / 107151.4%51%214 / 416 vs 546 / 1071Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VizekVizek 1.50/Cermak 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Vizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 16:00M. Vizek—69111182V. Cermak—111184113
WJun 14 · 01:30M. Vizek—91111113V. Cermak—115561
LMay 11 · 13:28M. Vizek—41131162V. Cermak—119118113
WMay 11 · 12:30M. Vizek—129911113V. Cermak—101111882
WMay 11 · 08:00M. Vizek—11116113V. Cermak—441171
WMar 14 · 02:30M. Vizek—1111113V. Cermak—8240
LJan 31 · 04:00M. Vizek—116111032V. Cermak—711712113
WJan 31 · 01:30M. Vizek—1111113V. Cermak—1980
LJan 23 · 03:30M. Vizek—11331142V. Cermak—411119113
WJan 11 · 03:57M. Vizek—11511113V. Cermak—811981
M. Vizek10
WSep 11 · 01:00M. Vizek1.3671112113M. Vedmoch3.001191071WSep 11 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.501161081M. Vizek2.5021112113WSep 10 · 22:30M. Volf1.91111110862M. Vizek1.80841211113LSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192WSep 6 · 20:00M. Vizek1.8312101411123M. Volf1.831412126102LSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721WSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek1.5061111113R. Krejci2.50118861LAug 30 · 21:28M. Vizek1.80341171M. Nohejl1.9111118113WAug 30 · 20:00M. Vizek1.73511611113M. Nohejl2.0011811772WAug 30 · 19:30T. Janata2.20361191M. Vizek1.6111117113
V. Cermak10
LSep 11 · 24:30V. Cermak2.001081112112M. Volf1.731211910133WSep 10 · 23:00V. Cermak2.635111012113M. Sobisek1.44115121052WSep 10 · 22:00M. Vedmoch2.7551141352V. Cermak1.401161111113LSep 10 · 03:28J. Hradecky1.441112113V. Cermak2.6371060LSep 10 · 01:30V. Cermak2.6341451162J. Hradecky1.441112117113LSep 10 · 24:30D. Kouble1.7313811113V. Cermak2.001111781WSep 9 · 23:30M. Vedmoch3.009111281V. Cermak1.36111310113WSep 9 · 22:30V. Cermak3.5012411113A. Hlawatschke1.281011561LSep 9 · 01:30V. Cermak1.80611581M. Sopko1.9111511113LSep 9 · 24:30M. Sobisek1.501111113V. Cermak2.507420
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