TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13107628
Played Sep 10Finished
Jakub Hradecky
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210116––––
Vladimir Cermak
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJakub Hradecky above · Vladimir Cermak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 57 set 3, 11-6
57 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Hradecky 27–7 Vladimir Cermak Vladimir Cermak has won 7 of their 34 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Hradecky beat Cermak 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Hradecky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hradecky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHradecky 1.44 / Cermak 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Hradecky)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13107628
Hradecky1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 87 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it98% 44 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it78% 60 of 77
Cermak2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 87 of 201
Down 0–1, comes back24% 28 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHradecky7wins
AwayCermak3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHradecky leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHradecky85.7%6 of 7
AwayCermak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hradecky7Cermak3n = 10Hradecky took 7 of 10
S2Hradecky4Cermak6n = 10Cermak took 6 of 10
S3Hradecky6Cermak4n = 10Hradecky took 6 of 10
S4Hradecky5Cermak5n = 10split evenly
S5Hradecky4Cermak2n = 6Hradecky took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHradeckyCermakH − CBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.940.5+5.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHradeckyCermakBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 484 vs 544 / 106753.3%51%258 / 484 vs 544 / 1067Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HradeckyHradecky 1.44/Cermak 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Hradecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hradecky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 01:30J. Hradecky—1112117113V. Cermak—41451162
WAug 28 · 12:30J. Hradecky—11611133V. Cermak—7118111
WAug 27 · 01:30J. Hradecky—111199113V. Cermak—77111172
WAug 26 · 18:30J. Hradecky—101111123V. Cermak—1277101
WAug 20 · 07:00J. Hradecky—121168113V. Cermak—103111172
LAug 13 · 02:00J. Hradecky—85111192V. Cermak—111179113
LJun 30 · 24:30J. Hradecky—7812101V. Cermak—111110123
LJun 28 · 13:30J. Hradecky—11971382V. Cermak—9111111113
WJun 28 · 11:30J. Hradecky—111199113V. Cermak—23111172
WJun 28 · 07:00J. Hradecky—111011113V. Cermak—412381
J. Hradecky10
WSep 10 · 02:30J. Hradecky1.40121111113M. Vedmoch2.75145051WSep 10 · 01:30V. Cermak2.6341451162J. Hradecky1.441112117113WSep 10 · 24:00J. Hradecky1.67116811113A. Hlawatschke2.1091111962WSep 9 · 23:00D. Kouble2.63861241J. Hradecky1.44111110113LSep 9 · 17:29J. Hradecky1.80121111792J. Stolfa1.91147611113WSep 9 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.671211113M. Sedlak2.1010640WSep 9 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.73411919113J. Stolfa2.00119111752WSep 9 · 14:00M. Vedmoch3.0011711632J. Hradecky1.36811711113WSep 7 · 21:30J. Hradecky1.4011137123M. Vedmoch2.7571111101WSep 7 · 20:30L. Krticka2.503430J. Hradecky1.501111113
V. Cermak10
LSep 10 · 01:30V. Cermak2.6341451162J. Hradecky1.441112117113LSep 10 · 24:30D. Kouble1.7313811113V. Cermak2.001111781WSep 9 · 23:30M. Vedmoch3.009111281V. Cermak1.36111310113WSep 9 · 22:30V. Cermak3.5012411113A. Hlawatschke1.281011561LSep 9 · 01:30V. Cermak1.80611581M. Sopko1.9111511113LSep 9 · 24:30M. Sobisek1.501111113V. Cermak2.507420LSep 8 · 23:30D. Tuma2.10115911113V. Cermak1.6781111952LSep 8 · 22:30V. Cermak2.631011111262A. Hlawatschke1.441213810113LSep 8 · 17:29M. Sobisek1.501111113V. Cermak2.507650WSep 8 · 16:00V. Cermak1.4011911113M. Vedmoch2.75911721
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