TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13118493
Played Sep 12Finished
Richard Krejci
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117911611115119
Vladimir Cermak
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
How it is goingRichard Krejci above · Vladimir Cermak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 91 set 5, 11-9
91 points played in total.
H2H Richard Krejci 12–11 Vladimir Cermak Vladimir Cermak has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cermak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cermak form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrejci 2.00 / Cermak 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Cermak)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13118493
Krejci2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 21 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Cermak1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 151 of 256
Up 2–0, closes it91% 77 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it79% 121 of 154
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrejci4wins
AwayCermak6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderCermak leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrejci80%4 of 5
AwayCermak100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krejci5Cermak5n = 10split evenly
S2Krejci3Cermak7n = 10Cermak took 7 of 10
S3Krejci6Cermak4n = 10Krejci took 6 of 10
S4Krejci1Cermak4n = 5Cermak took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrejciCermakK − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.035.1−1.1per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrejciCermakBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 348 vs 543 / 106953.2%50.8%185 / 348 vs 543 / 1069Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CermakKrejci 2.00/Cermak 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Cermak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krejci won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 22:30R. Krejci—8490V. Cermak—1111113
LSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci—9980V. Cermak—1111113
WJul 19 · 23:00R. Krejci—1110119123V. Cermak—912311102
LJun 1 · 22:30R. Krejci—2570V. Cermak—1111113
WMay 13 · 01:00R. Krejci—1111113V. Cermak—9550
LApr 24 · 01:00R. Krejci—1175121V. Cermak—51111143
LJan 22 · 03:00R. Krejci—71411862V. Cermak—1112811113
LJan 17 · 01:30R. Krejci—991191V. Cermak—11119113
WJan 15 · 02:30R. Krejci—1111113V. Cermak—5840
WDec 5 · 02:30R. Krejci—12711113V. Cermak—1011771
R. Krejci10
WSep 12 · 01:30R. Krejci3.251111113M. Sopko1.338790WSep 12 · 24:30P. Pycha1.57115561R. Krejci2.2591111113LSep 11 · 23:30S. Kadavy1.6114611123R. Krejci2.2012118101LSep 11 · 22:30R. Krejci2.008490V. Cermak1.731111113LSep 9 · 03:30R. Krejci1.917550M. Vedmoch1.801111113WSep 9 · 02:30R. Krejci1.831111113M. Vedmoch1.837550WSep 9 · 01:30J. Trefny3.5011291152R. Krejci1.28711119113LSep 9 · 24:00R. Krejci1.6711981132R. Pavelka2.10711119113WSep 8 · 23:00V. Postelt2.5010770R. Krejci1.501211113WSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480
V. Cermak10
LSep 12 · 02:00V. Cermak2.101071181P. Pycha1.6712115113LSep 12 · 01:00V. Cermak2.00891111112S. Kadavy1.73111147133LSep 12 · 24:00M. Sopko1.731111113V. Cermak2.001860WSep 11 · 22:30R. Krejci2.008490V. Cermak1.731111113LSep 11 · 03:30M. Vizek1.5081111123V. Cermak2.501158101LSep 11 · 02:00M. Vizek1.50146118123V. Cermak2.501211611102LSep 11 · 24:30V. Cermak2.001081112112M. Volf1.731211910133WSep 10 · 23:00V. Cermak2.635111012113M. Sobisek1.44115121052WSep 10 · 22:00M. Vedmoch2.7551141352V. Cermak1.401161111113LSep 10 · 03:28J. Hradecky1.441112113V. Cermak2.6371060
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.