TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110322
Played Sep 12Finished
Vladimir Cermak
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8119111141171113
Simon Kadavy
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:33 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeSimon Kadavy to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Cermak above · Simon Kadavy below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 96 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Simon Kadavy at 57.7%
96 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Cermak 5–12 Simon Kadavy Vladimir Cermak has won 5 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:33What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kadavy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-12 in 17
Kadavy
Correct
gap of 7 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cermak 1496 vs Kadavy 1696
Kadavy
Correct
both rated, 200 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cermak 20% vs Kadavy 100%
Kadavy
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cermak 30% vs Kadavy 90%
Kadavy
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cermak -1 · Kadavy +5
Kadavy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kadavy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kadavy form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCermak 2.00 / Kadavy 1.73
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Kadavy)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110322
Cermak2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 89 of 207
Down 0–1, comes back24% 29 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 68
Kadavy1.73
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 38 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it100% 19 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it72% 26 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCermak5wins
AwayKadavy5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCermak66.7%4 of 6
AwayKadavy75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cermak6Kadavy4n = 10Cermak took 6 of 10
S2Cermak7Kadavy3n = 10Cermak took 7 of 10
S3Cermak4Kadavy6n = 10Kadavy took 6 of 10
S4Cermak3Kadavy4n = 7Kadavy took 4 of 7
S5Cermak2Kadavy3n = 5Kadavy took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCermakKadavyC − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.939.1+1.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCermakKadavyBasisWin rate · lifetime543 / 1067 vs 269 / 53350.9%50.5%543 / 1067 vs 269 / 533Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KadavyCermak 2.00/Kadavy 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Kadavy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kadavy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 12 · 13:30V. Cermak—12125772S. Kadavy—10101111113
WJun 12 · 12:00V. Cermak—1111113S. Kadavy—8340
LMar 6 · 02:30V. Cermak—71181482S. Kadavy—1171112113
WMar 2 · 13:30V. Cermak—11115113S. Kadavy—261131
LFeb 19 · 18:00V. Cermak—117111262S. Kadavy—611614113
LFeb 19 · 16:30V. Cermak—911771S. Kadavy—11811113
WDec 26 · 24:00V. Cermak—1511123S. Kadavy—139100
LOct 16 · 22:30V. Cermak—5890S. Kadavy—1111113
WOct 12 · 24:30V. Cermak—111189113S. Kadavy—78111192
WJun 24 · 03:30V. Cermak—971111183S. Kadavy—111156162
V. Cermak10
LSep 12 · 24:00M. Sopko1.731111113V. Cermak2.001860WSep 11 · 22:30R. Krejci2.008490V. Cermak1.731111113LSep 11 · 03:30M. Vizek1.5081111123V. Cermak2.501158101LSep 11 · 02:00M. Vizek1.50146118123V. Cermak2.501211611102LSep 11 · 24:30V. Cermak2.001081112112M. Volf1.731211910133WSep 10 · 23:00V. Cermak2.635111012113M. Sobisek1.44115121052WSep 10 · 22:00M. Vedmoch2.7551141352V. Cermak1.401161111113LSep 10 · 03:28J. Hradecky1.441112113V. Cermak2.6371060LSep 10 · 01:30V. Cermak2.6341451162J. Hradecky1.441112117113LSep 10 · 24:30D. Kouble1.7313811113V. Cermak2.001111781
S. Kadavy10
WSep 11 · 23:30S. Kadavy1.6114611123R. Krejci2.2012118101WSep 11 · 22:00S. Kadavy1.73101111123P. Pycha2.001297101WSep 5 · 03:28S. Kadavy1.5711811113R. Krejci2.25611491WSep 5 · 02:30S. Kadavy1.801111113D. Kouble1.919180WSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 5 · 24:00S. Kadavy1.4471111113R. Krejci2.63118991WSep 4 · 23:00P. Pycha2.0057150S. Kadavy1.731111173WSep 4 · 16:59J. Stolfa1.67731281S. Kadavy2.10111110113LSep 4 · 16:30M. Pikous1.251111113S. Kadavy3.759630WSep 4 · 15:30S. Kadavy2.20116119113J. Stolfa1.6151171192
Upcoming Matches
V. Cermak
Nothing scheduled
S. Kadavy
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