TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110012
Played Sep 11Finished
Simon Kadavy
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
10121191171210––
Patrik Pycha
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:52 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeSimon Kadavy to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSimon Kadavy above · Patrik Pycha below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 82 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Simon Kadavy at 56.9%
82 points played in total.
H2H Simon Kadavy 28–22 Patrik Pycha Patrik Pycha has won 22 of their 50 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:52What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kadavy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-22 in 50
Kadavy
Correct
gap of 6 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kadavy 1679 vs Pycha 1573
Kadavy
Correct
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kadavy 100% vs Pycha 20%
Kadavy
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kadavy 70% vs Pycha 20%
Kadavy
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kadavy +5 · Pycha -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kadavy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pycha form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKadavy 1.73 / Pycha 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kadavy)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110012
Kadavy1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 38 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it100% 19 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it72% 26 of 36
Pycha2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 20 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back21% 7 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKadavy6wins
AwayPycha4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKadavy leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKadavy75%6 of 8
AwayPychan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kadavy8Pycha2n = 10Kadavy took 8 of 10
S2Kadavy5Pycha5n = 10split evenly
S3Kadavy4Pycha6n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S4Kadavy4Pycha2n = 6Kadavy took 4 of 6
S5Kadavy2Pycha2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKadavyPychaK − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.638.4+1.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKadavyPychaBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 535 vs 491 / 93749.9%52.4%267 / 535 vs 491 / 937Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KadavyKadavy 1.73/Pycha 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.9%
Kadavy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kadavy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 23:00S. Kadavy—111369133P. Pycha—9111111112
WAug 15 · 24:30S. Kadavy—1110413113P. Pycha—812111162
LJul 18 · 03:29S. Kadavy—134121182P. Pycha—1511109113
LJul 17 · 22:00S. Kadavy—11118101P. Pycha—91311123
WJun 20 · 02:58S. Kadavy—1111113P. Pycha—9690
LJun 19 · 22:00S. Kadavy—119101252P. Pycha—7111210113
WMar 6 · 01:00S. Kadavy—12117113P. Pycha—1061171
WMar 4 · 02:00S. Kadavy—1111113P. Pycha—9640
LFeb 27 · 03:59S. Kadavy—5860P. Pycha—1111113
WFeb 27 · 24:30S. Kadavy—1112113P. Pycha—71040
S. Kadavy10
WSep 5 · 03:28S. Kadavy1.5711811113R. Krejci2.25611491WSep 5 · 02:30S. Kadavy1.801111113D. Kouble1.919180WSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 5 · 24:00S. Kadavy1.4471111113R. Krejci2.63118991WSep 4 · 23:00P. Pycha2.0057150S. Kadavy1.731111173WSep 4 · 16:59J. Stolfa1.67731281S. Kadavy2.10111110113LSep 4 · 16:30M. Pikous1.251111113S. Kadavy3.759630WSep 4 · 15:30S. Kadavy2.20116119113J. Stolfa1.6151171192LSep 4 · 14:30D. Hofman1.50111168113S. Kadavy2.5097111182LSep 1 · 20:58J. Stolfa1.73111616123S. Kadavy2.0081814101
P. Pycha10
LSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350LSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113LSep 4 · 23:00P. Pycha2.0057150S. Kadavy1.731111173WSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113LAug 29 · 02:58T. Janata1.9111118113P. Pycha1.80771171WAug 29 · 02:00P. Budinsky2.20771121P. Pycha1.6111118113LAug 29 · 24:30P. Pycha1.91712111482T. Janata1.801114812113LAug 28 · 23:00P. Pycha2.009111111112S. Kadavy1.73111369133LAug 28 · 22:00D. Tuma2.1091111133P. Pycha1.671186111
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